Tampa (TPA) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance
Data through July 2026
Tampa (TPA) to Minneapolis (MSP) effectively runs on two schedules. In October 2024, 96% of arrivals were on time; in December 2025 that fell to 74% — a 23-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 82% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (89% vs 76%), which matters most in the rough months.
- On-time
- 82%
- arrived <15 min late
- Avg delay
- 14 min
- completed flights
- Cancelled
- 1.6%
- Flights/day
- 3.2
- last 12 months
- Duration
- 3h 26m
- scheduled
- Distance
- 1,306 mi
Monthly on-time trend
Best time to fly from TPA to MSP
Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (90% on-time); avoid 3 p.m. departures (71%).
By day of week
| Day | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | 78% | 20 min |
| Tuesdaybest | 87% | 10 min |
| Wednesday | 86% | 8 min |
| Thursday | 82% | 10 min |
| Friday | 83% | 16 min |
| Saturday | 83% | 10 min |
| Sunday | 73% | 22 min |
What causes delays on this route
Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.
- Late-arriving aircraft35%
- Airline operations36%
- National airspace system23%
- Weather6%
Frequently asked questions
- How often are flights from TPA to MSP delayed?
- 19% of TPA–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 14 minutes.
- What is the best time of day to fly from TPA to MSP?
- Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (90% on-time), while departures around 3 p.m. have the worst (71%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
- How long is the flight from TPA to MSP?
- The scheduled TPA–MSP flight time averages 3h 26m over 1,306 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 19% of the time.
- How often are TPA to MSP flights cancelled?
- 1.6% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
- What is the worst month to fly from TPA to MSP?
- December 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 74% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 96%. If your dates are flexible, that 23-point gap is worth planning around.
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Based on 2,495 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.