FlightRecord

Tampa (TPA) to Chicago (ORD): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

The calendar drives reliability on TPA–ORD. September 2024 flights landed on schedule 91% of the time, but March 2026 dropped to 62% — a gap of 29 points. Across the full period the route averages 75% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (86% vs 58%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
75%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
21 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.8%
Flights/day
8.9
last 12 months
Duration
3h 4m
scheduled
Distance
1,012 mi

Best airline from TPA to ORD

5 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
United Airlinesmost reliable78%17 min1.3%2,782
American Airlines75%24 min2.0%2,167
Spirit Airlines74%21 min2.8%818
Southwest Airlines67%20 min0.9%214
Frontier Airlines63%43 min3.1%325

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for TPA to ORD flights50%75%100%June 2024: 76% on-time (224 flights)76Jun 2024July 2024: 65% on-time (228 flights)65August 2024: 70% on-time (225 flights)70September 2024: 91% on-time (193 flights)91Sep 2024October 2024: 90% on-time (225 flights)90November 2024: 89% on-time (232 flights)89December 2024: 79% on-time (290 flights)79Dec 2024January 2025: 81% on-time (279 flights)81February 2025: 83% on-time (256 flights)83March 2025: 77% on-time (335 flights)77Mar 2025April 2025: 76% on-time (300 flights)76May 2025: 76% on-time (265 flights)76June 2025: 64% on-time (255 flights)64Jun 2025July 2025: 63% on-time (229 flights)63August 2025: 76% on-time (225 flights)76September 2025: 89% on-time (205 flights)89Sep 2025October 2025: 83% on-time (236 flights)83November 2025: 75% on-time (281 flights)75December 2025: 71% on-time (335 flights)71Dec 2025January 2026: 67% on-time (300 flights)67February 2026: 71% on-time (285 flights)71March 2026: 62% on-time (341 flights)62Mar 2026April 2026: 75% on-time (315 flights)75May 2026: 70% on-time (250 flights)70

Best time to fly from TPA to ORD

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (93% on-time); avoid 6 p.m. departures (56%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, TPA to ORD5 a.m.: 93% on-time (73 flights)56 a.m.: 87% on-time (356 flights)67 a.m.: 89% on-time (1,084 flights)78 a.m.: 89% on-time (162 flights)89 a.m.: 82% on-time (244 flights)910 a.m.: 81% on-time (137 flights)1011 a.m.: 79% on-time (341 flights)1112 p.m.: 82% on-time (1,079 flights)121 p.m.: 77% on-time (410 flights)132 p.m.: 69% on-time (358 flights)143 p.m.: 64% on-time (110 flights)154 p.m.: 60% on-time (807 flights)165 p.m.: 58% on-time (372 flights)176 p.m.: 56% on-time (419 flights)187 p.m.: 59% on-time (199 flights)198 p.m.: 62% on-time (40 flights)209 p.m.: 68% on-time (65 flights)2110 p.m.: 62% on-time (53 flights)22scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday75%23 min
Tuesdaybest82%16 min
Wednesday78%16 min
Thursday75%22 min
Friday74%22 min
Saturday75%20 min
Sunday70%29 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft38%
  • Airline operations23%
  • National airspace system33%
  • Weather7%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from TPA to ORD delayed?
25% of TPA–ORD flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 21 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from TPA to ORD?
United Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 78%, based on 2,782 flights. 5 airlines flew TPA–ORD frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from TPA to ORD?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (93% on-time), while departures around 6 p.m. have the worst (56%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from TPA to ORD?
The scheduled TPA–ORD flight time averages 3h 4m over 1,012 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 25% of the time.
How often are TPA to ORD flights cancelled?
1.8% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from TPA to ORD?
March 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 62% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2024 at 91%. If your dates are flexible, that 29-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 6,309 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.