FlightRecord

Phoenix (PHX) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

When you fly PHX to MSP matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 92% on-time in November 2024 to just 70% in June 2024. Across the full period the route averages 84% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (90% vs 77%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
84%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
12 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.7%
Flights/day
8.6
last 12 months
Duration
3h 6m
scheduled
Distance
1,276 mi

Best airline from PHX to MSP

4 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Frontier Airlinesmost reliable87%9 min1.0%287
Delta Air Lines86%11 min0.6%4,208
American Airlines81%15 min0.8%1,325
Southwest Airlines74%14 min0.7%725

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for PHX to MSP flights50%75%100%June 2024: 70% on-time (259 flights)70Jun 2024July 2024: 71% on-time (289 flights)71August 2024: 82% on-time (284 flights)82September 2024: 91% on-time (273 flights)91Sep 2024October 2024: 91% on-time (275 flights)91November 2024: 92% on-time (262 flights)92December 2024: 82% on-time (302 flights)82Dec 2024January 2025: 89% on-time (280 flights)89February 2025: 89% on-time (262 flights)89March 2025: 86% on-time (346 flights)86Mar 2025April 2025: 85% on-time (304 flights)85May 2025: 78% on-time (269 flights)78June 2025: 87% on-time (269 flights)87Jun 2025July 2025: 80% on-time (272 flights)80August 2025: 83% on-time (251 flights)83September 2025: 86% on-time (229 flights)86Sep 2025October 2025: 86% on-time (270 flights)86November 2025: 84% on-time (246 flights)84December 2025: 78% on-time (269 flights)78Dec 2025January 2026: 79% on-time (245 flights)79February 2026: 81% on-time (262 flights)81March 2026: 83% on-time (337 flights)83Mar 2026April 2026: 89% on-time (259 flights)89May 2026: 84% on-time (233 flights)84

Best time to fly from PHX to MSP

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (94% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (61%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, PHX to MSP5 a.m.: 94% on-time (70 flights)56 a.m.: 94% on-time (508 flights)67 a.m.: 92% on-time (324 flights)78 a.m.: 85% on-time (378 flights)89 a.m.: 87% on-time (845 flights)910 a.m.: 91% on-time (353 flights)1011 a.m.: 91% on-time (335 flights)1112 p.m.: 81% on-time (218 flights)121 p.m.: 77% on-time (394 flights)132 p.m.: 83% on-time (339 flights)143 p.m.: 76% on-time (269 flights)154 p.m.: 77% on-time (238 flights)165 p.m.: 79% on-time (499 flights)176 p.m.: 77% on-time (853 flights)187 p.m.: 77% on-time (372 flights)198 p.m.: 61% on-time (92 flights)2011 p.m.: 90% on-time (75 flights)23scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday82%14 min
Tuesdaybest87%11 min
Wednesday85%10 min
Thursday83%12 min
Friday83%14 min
Saturday83%12 min
Sunday82%12 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft52%
  • Airline operations35%
  • National airspace system10%
  • Weather3%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from PHX to MSP delayed?
17% of PHX–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 12 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from PHX to MSP?
Frontier Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 87%, based on 287 flights. 4 airlines flew PHX–MSP frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from PHX to MSP?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (94% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (61%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from PHX to MSP?
The scheduled PHX–MSP flight time averages 3h 6m over 1,276 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 17% of the time.
How often are PHX to MSP flights cancelled?
0.7% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from PHX to MSP?
June 2024 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 70% of arrivals on time. The best was November 2024 at 92%. If your dates are flexible, that 22-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 6,547 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.