FlightRecord

Phoenix (PHX) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

When you fly PHX to MSP matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 92% on-time in November 2024 to just 71% in July 2024. Across the full period the route averages 84% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (90% vs 78%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
84%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
12 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.7%
Flights/day
8.3
last 12 months
Duration
3h 6m
scheduled
Distance
1,276 mi

Best airline from PHX to MSP

4 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Frontier Airlinesmost reliable88%9 min1.1%271
Delta Air Lines86%11 min0.6%4,335
American Airlines80%16 min0.8%1,400
Southwest Airlines75%13 min0.7%699

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for PHX to MSP flights50%75%100%August 2024: 82% on-time (284 flights)82Aug 2024September 2024: 91% on-time (273 flights)91October 2024: 91% on-time (275 flights)91November 2024: 92% on-time (262 flights)92Nov 2024December 2024: 82% on-time (302 flights)82January 2025: 89% on-time (280 flights)89February 2025: 89% on-time (262 flights)89Feb 2025March 2025: 86% on-time (346 flights)86April 2025: 85% on-time (304 flights)85May 2025: 78% on-time (269 flights)78May 2025June 2025: 87% on-time (269 flights)87July 2025: 80% on-time (272 flights)80August 2025: 83% on-time (251 flights)83Aug 2025September 2025: 86% on-time (229 flights)86October 2025: 86% on-time (270 flights)86November 2025: 84% on-time (246 flights)84Nov 2025December 2025: 78% on-time (269 flights)78January 2026: 79% on-time (245 flights)79February 2026: 81% on-time (262 flights)81Feb 2026March 2026: 83% on-time (337 flights)83April 2026: 89% on-time (259 flights)89May 2026: 84% on-time (233 flights)84May 2026June 2026: 89% on-time (207 flights)89July 2026: 77% on-time (212 flights)77

Best time to fly from PHX to MSP

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (94% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (68%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, PHX to MSP5 a.m.: 93% on-time (61 flights)56 a.m.: 94% on-time (528 flights)67 a.m.: 92% on-time (331 flights)78 a.m.: 85% on-time (431 flights)89 a.m.: 88% on-time (850 flights)910 a.m.: 91% on-time (353 flights)1011 a.m.: 91% on-time (403 flights)1112 p.m.: 82% on-time (188 flights)121 p.m.: 77% on-time (444 flights)132 p.m.: 84% on-time (320 flights)143 p.m.: 76% on-time (268 flights)154 p.m.: 78% on-time (237 flights)165 p.m.: 81% on-time (529 flights)176 p.m.: 77% on-time (878 flights)187 p.m.: 77% on-time (370 flights)198 p.m.: 68% on-time (77 flights)2011 p.m.: 90% on-time (75 flights)23scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday83%15 min
Tuesdaybest88%11 min
Wednesday86%10 min
Thursday84%12 min
Friday83%15 min
Saturday83%12 min
Sunday82%12 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft52%
  • Airline operations36%
  • National airspace system9%
  • Weather3%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from PHX to MSP delayed?
16% of PHX–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 12 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from PHX to MSP?
Frontier Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 88%, based on 271 flights. 4 airlines flew PHX–MSP frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from PHX to MSP?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (94% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (68%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from PHX to MSP?
The scheduled PHX–MSP flight time averages 3h 6m over 1,276 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 16% of the time.
How often are PHX to MSP flights cancelled?
0.7% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from PHX to MSP?
July 2024 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 71% of arrivals on time. The best was November 2024 at 92%. If your dates are flexible, that 21-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 6,707 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.