Minneapolis (MSP) to Tampa (TPA): On-Time Performance
Data through July 2026
When you fly MSP to TPA matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 94% on-time in September 2024 to just 67% in December 2025. Across the full period the route averages 81% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (84% vs 74%), which matters most in the rough months.
- On-time
- 81%
- arrived <15 min late
- Avg delay
- 12 min
- completed flights
- Cancelled
- 1.6%
- Flights/day
- 3.2
- last 12 months
- Duration
- 3h 11m
- scheduled
- Distance
- 1,306 mi
Monthly on-time trend
Best time to fly from MSP to TPA
Aim for departures around 7 a.m. (88% on-time); avoid 7 p.m. departures (72%).
By day of week
| Day | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | 82% | 14 min |
| Tuesdaybest | 88% | 9 min |
| Wednesday | 81% | 11 min |
| Thursday | 84% | 9 min |
| Friday | 80% | 12 min |
| Saturday | 80% | 12 min |
| Sunday | 75% | 17 min |
What causes delays on this route
Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.
- Late-arriving aircraft16%
- Airline operations51%
- National airspace system30%
- Weather3%
Frequently asked questions
- How often are flights from MSP to TPA delayed?
- 19% of MSP–TPA flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 12 minutes.
- What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to TPA?
- Departures around 7 a.m. have the best record (88% on-time), while departures around 7 p.m. have the worst (72%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
- How long is the flight from MSP to TPA?
- The scheduled MSP–TPA flight time averages 3h 11m over 1,306 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 19% of the time.
- How often are MSP to TPA flights cancelled?
- 1.6% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
- What is the worst month to fly from MSP to TPA?
- December 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 67% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2024 at 94%. If your dates are flexible, that 27-point gap is worth planning around.
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Based on 2,495 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.