FlightRecord

Seattle (SEA) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

Seattle (SEA) to Minneapolis (MSP) effectively runs on two schedules. In April 2025, 95% of arrivals were on time; in July 2024 that fell to 72% — a 24-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 85% on-time against a national 78%.

On-time
85%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
9 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.7%
Flights/day
7.4
last 12 months
Duration
3h 24m
scheduled
Distance
1,399 mi

Best airline from SEA to MSP

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Delta Air Linesmost reliable88%7 min0.7%3,469
Alaska Airlines79%12 min0.6%1,906

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for SEA to MSP flights50%75%100%June 2024: 78% on-time (269 flights)78Jun 2024July 2024: 72% on-time (286 flights)72August 2024: 76% on-time (287 flights)76September 2024: 83% on-time (264 flights)83Sep 2024October 2024: 91% on-time (222 flights)91November 2024: 95% on-time (187 flights)95December 2024: 90% on-time (202 flights)90Dec 2024January 2025: 92% on-time (179 flights)92February 2025: 91% on-time (160 flights)91March 2025: 92% on-time (198 flights)92Mar 2025April 2025: 95% on-time (197 flights)95May 2025: 77% on-time (217 flights)77June 2025: 83% on-time (269 flights)83Jun 2025July 2025: 75% on-time (295 flights)75August 2025: 77% on-time (291 flights)77September 2025: 86% on-time (264 flights)86Sep 2025October 2025: 91% on-time (230 flights)91November 2025: 89% on-time (202 flights)89December 2025: 81% on-time (208 flights)81Dec 2025January 2026: 90% on-time (168 flights)90February 2026: 88% on-time (158 flights)88March 2026: 89% on-time (199 flights)89Mar 2026April 2026: 90% on-time (198 flights)90May 2026: 92% on-time (225 flights)92

Best time to fly from SEA to MSP

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (95% on-time); avoid 10 a.m. departures (68%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, SEA to MSP6 a.m.: 95% on-time (730 flights)67 a.m.: 82% on-time (143 flights)78 a.m.: 89% on-time (985 flights)89 a.m.: 92% on-time (296 flights)910 a.m.: 68% on-time (250 flights)1011 a.m.: 81% on-time (285 flights)1112 p.m.: 87% on-time (363 flights)121 p.m.: 74% on-time (463 flights)133 p.m.: 88% on-time (311 flights)154 p.m.: 85% on-time (26 flights)165 p.m.: 81% on-time (157 flights)176 p.m.: 77% on-time (736 flights)187 p.m.: 80% on-time (111 flights)1911 p.m.: 91% on-time (282 flights)23scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday84%10 min
Tuesday87%8 min
Wednesdaybest87%7 min
Thursday83%9 min
Friday84%9 min
Saturday86%9 min
Sunday84%9 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft29%
  • Airline operations48%
  • National airspace system21%
  • Weather3%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from SEA to MSP delayed?
15% of SEA–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 9 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from SEA to MSP?
Delta Air Lines has the best on-time record on this route at 88%, based on 3,469 flights. 2 airlines flew SEA–MSP frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from SEA to MSP?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (95% on-time), while departures around 10 a.m. have the worst (68%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from SEA to MSP?
The scheduled SEA–MSP flight time averages 3h 24m over 1,399 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 15% of the time.
How often are SEA to MSP flights cancelled?
0.7% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from SEA to MSP?
July 2024 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 72% of arrivals on time. The best was April 2025 at 95%. If your dates are flexible, that 24-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 5,375 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.