FlightRecord

Chicago (ORD) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

The calendar drives reliability on ORD–MSP. November 2024 flights landed on schedule 87% of the time, but July 2024 dropped to 50% — a gap of 37 points. Across the full period the route averages 71% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (83% vs 62%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
71%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
22 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.4%
Flights/day
17
last 12 months
Duration
1h 36m
scheduled
Distance
334 mi

Best airline from ORD to MSP

6 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Republic Airwaysmost reliable75%18 min3.7%794
Envoy Air73%16 min1.8%2,038
Delta Air Lines72%26 min1.3%3,288
United Airlines71%21 min0.7%4,734
SkyWest Airlines68%30 min2.5%857
American Airlines63%31 min1.0%784

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for ORD to MSP flights50%75%100%June 2024: 54% on-time (548 flights)54Jun 2024July 2024: 50% on-time (529 flights)50August 2024: 56% on-time (573 flights)56September 2024: 78% on-time (534 flights)78Sep 2024October 2024: 86% on-time (566 flights)86November 2024: 87% on-time (493 flights)87December 2024: 78% on-time (498 flights)78Dec 2024January 2025: 84% on-time (460 flights)84February 2025: 82% on-time (437 flights)82March 2025: 79% on-time (513 flights)79Mar 2025April 2025: 69% on-time (509 flights)69May 2025: 72% on-time (566 flights)72June 2025: 70% on-time (541 flights)70Jun 2025July 2025: 66% on-time (544 flights)66August 2025: 69% on-time (542 flights)69September 2025: 71% on-time (536 flights)71Sep 2025October 2025: 77% on-time (574 flights)77November 2025: 73% on-time (512 flights)73December 2025: 50% on-time (500 flights)50Dec 2025January 2026: 66% on-time (451 flights)66February 2026: 71% on-time (442 flights)71March 2026: 64% on-time (535 flights)64Mar 2026April 2026: 74% on-time (583 flights)74May 2026: 78% on-time (570 flights)78

Best time to fly from ORD to MSP

Aim for departures around 7 a.m. (90% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (58%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, ORD to MSP6 a.m.: 86% on-time (821 flights)67 a.m.: 90% on-time (704 flights)78 a.m.: 80% on-time (1,342 flights)89 a.m.: 80% on-time (592 flights)910 a.m.: 82% on-time (505 flights)1011 a.m.: 72% on-time (313 flights)1112 p.m.: 67% on-time (1,475 flights)121 p.m.: 68% on-time (119 flights)132 p.m.: 75% on-time (836 flights)143 p.m.: 64% on-time (1,229 flights)154 p.m.: 64% on-time (777 flights)165 p.m.: 62% on-time (816 flights)176 p.m.: 61% on-time (329 flights)187 p.m.: 67% on-time (539 flights)198 p.m.: 58% on-time (1,221 flights)209 p.m.: 65% on-time (604 flights)2110 p.m.: 64% on-time (332 flights)22scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday70%24 min
Tuesday74%19 min
Wednesday70%23 min
Thursday68%24 min
Friday69%23 min
Saturdaybest75%18 min
Sunday70%26 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft39%
  • Airline operations31%
  • National airspace system21%
  • Weather9%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from ORD to MSP delayed?
29% of ORD–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 22 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from ORD to MSP?
Republic Airways has the best on-time record on this route at 75%, based on 794 flights. 6 airlines flew ORD–MSP frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from ORD to MSP?
Departures around 7 a.m. have the best record (90% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (58%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from ORD to MSP?
The scheduled ORD–MSP flight time averages 1h 36m over 334 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 29% of the time.
How often are ORD to MSP flights cancelled?
1.4% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from ORD to MSP?
July 2024 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 50% of arrivals on time. The best was November 2024 at 87%. If your dates are flexible, that 37-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 12,556 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.