FlightRecord

Raleigh/Durham (RDU) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

When you fly RDU to MSP matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 98% on-time in October 2024 to just 66% in December 2025. Across the full period the route averages 84% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (90% vs 75%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
84%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
15 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.1%
Flights/day
3.4
last 12 months
Duration
2h 54m
scheduled
Distance
980 mi

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for RDU to MSP flights50%75%100%June 2024: 77% on-time (119 flights)77Jun 2024July 2024: 75% on-time (122 flights)75August 2024: 79% on-time (117 flights)79September 2024: 96% on-time (111 flights)96Sep 2024October 2024: 98% on-time (109 flights)98November 2024: 96% on-time (105 flights)96December 2024: 85% on-time (92 flights)85Dec 2024January 2025: 83% on-time (81 flights)83February 2025: 90% on-time (79 flights)90March 2025: 83% on-time (93 flights)83Mar 2025April 2025: 78% on-time (90 flights)78May 2025: 79% on-time (113 flights)79June 2025: 81% on-time (117 flights)81Jun 2025July 2025: 70% on-time (119 flights)70August 2025: 88% on-time (115 flights)88September 2025: 90% on-time (107 flights)90Sep 2025October 2025: 94% on-time (116 flights)94November 2025: 92% on-time (106 flights)92December 2025: 66% on-time (91 flights)66Dec 2025January 2026: 77% on-time (74 flights)77February 2026: 82% on-time (78 flights)82March 2026: 78% on-time (89 flights)78Mar 2026April 2026: 90% on-time (104 flights)90May 2026: 90% on-time (118 flights)90

Best time to fly from RDU to MSP

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (92% on-time); avoid 7 p.m. departures (72%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, RDU to MSP6 a.m.: 92% on-time (730 flights)611 a.m.: 88% on-time (419 flights)1112 p.m.: 80% on-time (247 flights)122 p.m.: 78% on-time (118 flights)143 p.m.: 88% on-time (297 flights)155 p.m.: 87% on-time (61 flights)176 p.m.: 75% on-time (250 flights)187 p.m.: 72% on-time (342 flights)19scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday83%17 min
Tuesdaybest88%11 min
Wednesday86%11 min
Thursday84%11 min
Friday84%15 min
Saturday84%18 min
Sunday81%20 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft39%
  • Airline operations51%
  • National airspace system9%
  • Weather2%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from RDU to MSP delayed?
16% of RDU–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 15 minutes.
What is the best time of day to fly from RDU to MSP?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (92% on-time), while departures around 7 p.m. have the worst (72%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from RDU to MSP?
The scheduled RDU–MSP flight time averages 2h 54m over 980 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 16% of the time.
How often are RDU to MSP flights cancelled?
1.1% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from RDU to MSP?
December 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 66% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 98%. If your dates are flexible, that 32-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 2,465 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.