FlightRecord

Minneapolis (MSP) to Raleigh/Durham (RDU): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

When you fly MSP to RDU matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 95% on-time in October 2024 to just 64% in July 2025. Across the full period the route averages 82% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (87% vs 78%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
82%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
12 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.9%
Flights/day
3.4
last 12 months
Duration
2h 32m
scheduled
Distance
980 mi

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MSP to RDU flights50%75%100%June 2024: 74% on-time (119 flights)74Jun 2024July 2024: 71% on-time (122 flights)71August 2024: 80% on-time (117 flights)80September 2024: 87% on-time (111 flights)87Sep 2024October 2024: 95% on-time (109 flights)95November 2024: 90% on-time (105 flights)90December 2024: 89% on-time (92 flights)89Dec 2024January 2025: 88% on-time (81 flights)88February 2025: 90% on-time (79 flights)90March 2025: 81% on-time (93 flights)81Mar 2025April 2025: 76% on-time (90 flights)76May 2025: 78% on-time (113 flights)78June 2025: 72% on-time (117 flights)72Jun 2025July 2025: 64% on-time (119 flights)64August 2025: 82% on-time (115 flights)82September 2025: 88% on-time (107 flights)88Sep 2025October 2025: 94% on-time (116 flights)94November 2025: 91% on-time (106 flights)91December 2025: 71% on-time (91 flights)71Dec 2025January 2026: 82% on-time (74 flights)82February 2026: 85% on-time (78 flights)85March 2026: 69% on-time (89 flights)69Mar 2026April 2026: 85% on-time (104 flights)85May 2026: 86% on-time (118 flights)86

Best time to fly from MSP to RDU

Aim for departures around 12 p.m. (89% on-time); avoid 7 p.m. departures (73%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MSP to RDU7 a.m.: 88% on-time (654 flights)710 a.m.: 86% on-time (404 flights)1012 p.m.: 89% on-time (75 flights)122 p.m.: 76% on-time (558 flights)147 p.m.: 73% on-time (173 flights)198 p.m.: 79% on-time (555 flights)20scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday82%10 min
Tuesdaybest87%9 min
Wednesday82%11 min
Thursday83%10 min
Friday81%13 min
Saturday79%14 min
Sunday77%15 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft21%
  • Airline operations57%
  • National airspace system20%
  • Weather2%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MSP to RDU delayed?
18% of MSP–RDU flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 12 minutes.
What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to RDU?
Departures around 12 p.m. have the best record (89% on-time), while departures around 7 p.m. have the worst (73%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MSP to RDU?
The scheduled MSP–RDU flight time averages 2h 32m over 980 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 18% of the time.
How often are MSP to RDU flights cancelled?
0.9% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MSP to RDU?
July 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 64% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 95%. If your dates are flexible, that 30-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 2,465 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.