Minneapolis (MSP) to Raleigh/Durham (RDU): On-Time Performance
Data through July 2026
When you fly MSP to RDU matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 95% on-time in October 2024 to just 64% in July 2025. Across the full period the route averages 82% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (87% vs 77%), which matters most in the rough months.
- On-time
- 82%
- arrived <15 min late
- Avg delay
- 11 min
- completed flights
- Cancelled
- 0.9%
- Flights/day
- 3.4
- last 12 months
- Duration
- 2h 32m
- scheduled
- Distance
- 980 mi
Monthly on-time trend
Best time to fly from MSP to RDU
Aim for departures around 12 p.m. (89% on-time); avoid 7 p.m. departures (73%).
By day of week
| Day | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | 83% | 10 min |
| Tuesdaybest | 86% | 8 min |
| Wednesday | 83% | 10 min |
| Thursday | 82% | 10 min |
| Friday | 81% | 12 min |
| Saturday | 79% | 14 min |
| Sunday | 76% | 15 min |
What causes delays on this route
Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.
- Late-arriving aircraft21%
- Airline operations56%
- National airspace system21%
- Weather2%
Frequently asked questions
- How often are flights from MSP to RDU delayed?
- 19% of MSP–RDU flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 11 minutes.
- What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to RDU?
- Departures around 12 p.m. have the best record (89% on-time), while departures around 7 p.m. have the worst (73%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
- How long is the flight from MSP to RDU?
- The scheduled MSP–RDU flight time averages 2h 32m over 980 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 19% of the time.
- How often are MSP to RDU flights cancelled?
- 0.9% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
- What is the worst month to fly from MSP to RDU?
- July 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 64% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 95%. If your dates are flexible, that 30-point gap is worth planning around.
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Based on 2,576 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.