FlightRecord

Minneapolis (MSP) to Chicago (ORD): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

Minneapolis (MSP) to Chicago (ORD) effectively runs on two schedules. In October 2024, 86% of arrivals were on time; in December 2025 that fell to 50% — a 36-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 73% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (84% vs 61%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
73%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
21 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.6%
Flights/day
17
last 12 months
Duration
1h 39m
scheduled
Distance
334 mi

Best airline from MSP to ORD

6 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Republic Airwaysmost reliable77%19 min4.6%791
American Airlines77%27 min1.0%785
United Airlines74%22 min1.0%4,733
Envoy Air73%18 min2.1%2,038
Delta Air Lines72%20 min1.2%3,287
SkyWest Airlines70%27 min2.6%861

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MSP to ORD flights50%75%100%June 2024: 63% on-time (549 flights)63Jun 2024July 2024: 64% on-time (529 flights)64August 2024: 67% on-time (572 flights)67September 2024: 80% on-time (535 flights)80Sep 2024October 2024: 86% on-time (565 flights)86November 2024: 84% on-time (493 flights)84December 2024: 79% on-time (498 flights)79Dec 2024January 2025: 82% on-time (461 flights)82February 2025: 83% on-time (436 flights)83March 2025: 81% on-time (512 flights)81Mar 2025April 2025: 78% on-time (509 flights)78May 2025: 78% on-time (566 flights)78June 2025: 72% on-time (541 flights)72Jun 2025July 2025: 63% on-time (544 flights)63August 2025: 69% on-time (542 flights)69September 2025: 74% on-time (536 flights)74Sep 2025October 2025: 73% on-time (574 flights)73November 2025: 72% on-time (512 flights)72December 2025: 50% on-time (502 flights)50Dec 2025January 2026: 60% on-time (448 flights)60February 2026: 79% on-time (442 flights)79March 2026: 69% on-time (535 flights)69Mar 2026April 2026: 76% on-time (583 flights)76May 2026: 80% on-time (572 flights)80

Best time to fly from MSP to ORD

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (90% on-time); avoid 4 p.m. departures (57%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MSP to ORD5 a.m.: 90% on-time (602 flights)56 a.m.: 84% on-time (1,267 flights)67 a.m.: 85% on-time (807 flights)78 a.m.: 83% on-time (814 flights)89 a.m.: 88% on-time (587 flights)910 a.m.: 82% on-time (1,168 flights)1011 a.m.: 80% on-time (1,028 flights)1112 p.m.: 78% on-time (267 flights)121 p.m.: 75% on-time (901 flights)132 p.m.: 58% on-time (271 flights)143 p.m.: 59% on-time (1,440 flights)154 p.m.: 57% on-time (518 flights)165 p.m.: 57% on-time (891 flights)176 p.m.: 61% on-time (1,081 flights)187 p.m.: 59% on-time (423 flights)198 p.m.: 72% on-time (470 flights)20scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday74%20 min
Tuesdaybest78%19 min
Wednesday74%22 min
Thursday71%25 min
Friday69%24 min
Saturday77%15 min
Sunday72%23 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft33%
  • Airline operations28%
  • National airspace system34%
  • Weather6%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MSP to ORD delayed?
27% of MSP–ORD flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 21 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MSP to ORD?
Republic Airways has the best on-time record on this route at 77%, based on 791 flights. 6 airlines flew MSP–ORD frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to ORD?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (90% on-time), while departures around 4 p.m. have the worst (57%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MSP to ORD?
The scheduled MSP–ORD flight time averages 1h 39m over 334 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 27% of the time.
How often are MSP to ORD flights cancelled?
1.6% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MSP to ORD?
December 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 50% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 86%. If your dates are flexible, that 36-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 12,556 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.