FlightRecord

Chicago (ORD) to Tampa (TPA): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

Chicago (ORD) to Tampa (TPA) effectively runs on two schedules. In September 2024, 87% of arrivals were on time; in March 2026 that fell to 63% — a 24-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 76% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (83% vs 67%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
76%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
19 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.7%
Flights/day
8.9
last 12 months
Duration
2h 48m
scheduled
Distance
1,012 mi

Best airline from ORD to TPA

5 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
United Airlinesmost reliable81%14 min1.2%2,782
Spirit Airlines73%26 min2.9%815
American Airlines72%20 min1.8%2,168
Southwest Airlines71%27 min0.9%214
Frontier Airlines68%38 min3.1%325

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for ORD to TPA flights50%75%100%June 2024: 69% on-time (224 flights)69Jun 2024July 2024: 69% on-time (228 flights)69August 2024: 68% on-time (224 flights)68September 2024: 87% on-time (192 flights)87Sep 2024October 2024: 86% on-time (226 flights)86November 2024: 87% on-time (231 flights)87December 2024: 79% on-time (292 flights)79Dec 2024January 2025: 79% on-time (277 flights)79February 2025: 80% on-time (255 flights)80March 2025: 79% on-time (335 flights)79Mar 2025April 2025: 83% on-time (299 flights)83May 2025: 81% on-time (265 flights)81June 2025: 76% on-time (254 flights)76Jun 2025July 2025: 70% on-time (229 flights)70August 2025: 75% on-time (225 flights)75September 2025: 82% on-time (205 flights)82Sep 2025October 2025: 79% on-time (236 flights)79November 2025: 80% on-time (280 flights)80December 2025: 65% on-time (337 flights)65Dec 2025January 2026: 75% on-time (300 flights)75February 2026: 78% on-time (286 flights)78March 2026: 63% on-time (341 flights)63Mar 2026April 2026: 72% on-time (316 flights)72May 2026: 71% on-time (250 flights)71

Best time to fly from ORD to TPA

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (88% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (37%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, ORD to TPA5 a.m.: 88% on-time (50 flights)56 a.m.: 86% on-time (271 flights)67 a.m.: 86% on-time (883 flights)78 a.m.: 80% on-time (491 flights)89 a.m.: 80% on-time (285 flights)910 a.m.: 78% on-time (249 flights)1011 a.m.: 83% on-time (850 flights)1112 p.m.: 78% on-time (81 flights)121 p.m.: 71% on-time (534 flights)132 p.m.: 69% on-time (553 flights)143 p.m.: 76% on-time (308 flights)154 p.m.: 65% on-time (73 flights)165 p.m.: 70% on-time (389 flights)176 p.m.: 68% on-time (1,015 flights)187 p.m.: 62% on-time (211 flights)198 p.m.: 37% on-time (39 flights)20scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday75%24 min
Tuesdaybest83%13 min
Wednesday78%16 min
Thursday80%16 min
Friday73%21 min
Saturday74%19 min
Sunday70%24 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft44%
  • Airline operations25%
  • National airspace system26%
  • Weather5%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from ORD to TPA delayed?
24% of ORD–TPA flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 19 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from ORD to TPA?
United Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 81%, based on 2,782 flights. 5 airlines flew ORD–TPA frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from ORD to TPA?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (88% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (37%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from ORD to TPA?
The scheduled ORD–TPA flight time averages 2h 48m over 1,012 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 24% of the time.
How often are ORD to TPA flights cancelled?
1.7% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from ORD to TPA?
March 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 63% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2024 at 87%. If your dates are flexible, that 24-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 6,307 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.