FlightRecord

Chicago (ORD) to Tampa (TPA): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

Chicago (ORD) to Tampa (TPA) effectively runs on two schedules. In September 2024, 87% of arrivals were on time; in March 2026 that fell to 63% — a 24-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 76% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (83% vs 67%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
76%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
19 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.7%
Flights/day
8.8
last 12 months
Duration
2h 48m
scheduled
Distance
1,012 mi

Best airline from ORD to TPA

5 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
United Airlinesmost reliable81%14 min1.2%2,934
Spirit Airlines74%26 min3.0%774
American Airlines72%20 min1.9%2,260
Southwest Airlines71%27 min0.9%214
Frontier Airlines68%38 min3.1%325

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for ORD to TPA flights50%75%100%August 2024: 68% on-time (224 flights)68Aug 2024September 2024: 87% on-time (192 flights)87October 2024: 86% on-time (226 flights)86November 2024: 87% on-time (231 flights)87Nov 2024December 2024: 79% on-time (292 flights)79January 2025: 79% on-time (277 flights)79February 2025: 80% on-time (255 flights)80Feb 2025March 2025: 79% on-time (335 flights)79April 2025: 83% on-time (299 flights)83May 2025: 81% on-time (265 flights)81May 2025June 2025: 76% on-time (254 flights)76July 2025: 70% on-time (229 flights)70August 2025: 75% on-time (225 flights)75Aug 2025September 2025: 82% on-time (205 flights)82October 2025: 79% on-time (236 flights)79November 2025: 80% on-time (280 flights)80Nov 2025December 2025: 65% on-time (337 flights)65January 2026: 75% on-time (300 flights)75February 2026: 78% on-time (286 flights)78Feb 2026March 2026: 63% on-time (341 flights)63April 2026: 72% on-time (316 flights)72May 2026: 71% on-time (250 flights)71May 2026June 2026: 70% on-time (212 flights)70July 2026: 75% on-time (215 flights)75

Best time to fly from ORD to TPA

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (88% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (45%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, ORD to TPA5 a.m.: 88% on-time (42 flights)56 a.m.: 86% on-time (271 flights)67 a.m.: 87% on-time (914 flights)78 a.m.: 80% on-time (468 flights)89 a.m.: 80% on-time (339 flights)910 a.m.: 78% on-time (245 flights)1011 a.m.: 83% on-time (880 flights)1112 p.m.: 78% on-time (81 flights)121 p.m.: 70% on-time (563 flights)132 p.m.: 69% on-time (615 flights)143 p.m.: 76% on-time (304 flights)154 p.m.: 65% on-time (73 flights)165 p.m.: 69% on-time (449 flights)176 p.m.: 69% on-time (986 flights)187 p.m.: 62% on-time (202 flights)198 p.m.: 45% on-time (56 flights)20scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday75%24 min
Tuesdaybest83%12 min
Wednesday78%17 min
Thursday79%16 min
Friday73%21 min
Saturday74%18 min
Sunday71%22 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft45%
  • Airline operations24%
  • National airspace system26%
  • Weather5%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from ORD to TPA delayed?
24% of ORD–TPA flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 19 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from ORD to TPA?
United Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 81%, based on 2,934 flights. 5 airlines flew ORD–TPA frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from ORD to TPA?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (88% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (45%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from ORD to TPA?
The scheduled ORD–TPA flight time averages 2h 48m over 1,012 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 24% of the time.
How often are ORD to TPA flights cancelled?
1.7% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from ORD to TPA?
March 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 63% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2024 at 87%. If your dates are flexible, that 24-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 6,510 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.