FlightRecord

Minneapolis (MSP) to Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MSP–DFW. October 2024 flights landed on schedule 90% of the time, but June 2026 dropped to 65% — a gap of 25 points. Across the full period the route averages 77% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (83% vs 69%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
77%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
19 min
completed flights
Cancelled
2.0%
Flights/day
9.0
last 12 months
Duration
2h 39m
scheduled
Distance
852 mi

Best airline from MSP to DFW

3 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
American Airlinesmost reliable78%22 min2.8%3,537
Delta Air Lines78%14 min1.1%2,923
Frontier Airlines67%30 min1.3%382

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MSP to DFW flights50%75%100%August 2024: 77% on-time (274 flights)77Aug 2024September 2024: 85% on-time (260 flights)85October 2024: 90% on-time (304 flights)90November 2024: 83% on-time (282 flights)83Nov 2024December 2024: 77% on-time (288 flights)77January 2025: 82% on-time (272 flights)82February 2025: 81% on-time (241 flights)81Feb 2025March 2025: 83% on-time (280 flights)83April 2025: 67% on-time (268 flights)67May 2025: 75% on-time (275 flights)75May 2025June 2025: 65% on-time (273 flights)65July 2025: 66% on-time (281 flights)66August 2025: 77% on-time (268 flights)77Aug 2025September 2025: 80% on-time (256 flights)80October 2025: 83% on-time (298 flights)83November 2025: 81% on-time (270 flights)81Nov 2025December 2025: 66% on-time (276 flights)66January 2026: 74% on-time (258 flights)74February 2026: 82% on-time (240 flights)82Feb 2026March 2026: 84% on-time (292 flights)84April 2026: 75% on-time (259 flights)75May 2026: 75% on-time (277 flights)75May 2026June 2026: 65% on-time (286 flights)65July 2026: 81% on-time (313 flights)81

Best time to fly from MSP to DFW

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (87% on-time); avoid 6 p.m. departures (66%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MSP to DFW5 a.m.: 85% on-time (289 flights)56 a.m.: 87% on-time (765 flights)67 a.m.: 84% on-time (976 flights)78 a.m.: 81% on-time (76 flights)89 a.m.: 79% on-time (98 flights)910 a.m.: 82% on-time (1,023 flights)1011 a.m.: 78% on-time (464 flights)1112 p.m.: 80% on-time (40 flights)121 p.m.: 78% on-time (23 flights)132 p.m.: 70% on-time (777 flights)143 p.m.: 70% on-time (687 flights)154 p.m.: 70% on-time (173 flights)165 p.m.: 67% on-time (154 flights)176 p.m.: 66% on-time (287 flights)187 p.m.: 71% on-time (709 flights)198 p.m.: 68% on-time (228 flights)209 p.m.: 75% on-time (103 flights)21scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday77%21 min
Tuesdaybest81%13 min
Wednesday77%18 min
Thursday78%14 min
Friday77%18 min
Saturday76%25 min
Sunday75%23 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft35%
  • Airline operations40%
  • National airspace system22%
  • Weather3%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MSP to DFW delayed?
23% of MSP–DFW flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 19 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MSP to DFW?
American Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 78%, based on 3,537 flights. 3 airlines flew MSP–DFW frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to DFW?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (87% on-time), while departures around 6 p.m. have the worst (66%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MSP to DFW?
The scheduled MSP–DFW flight time averages 2h 39m over 852 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 23% of the time.
How often are MSP to DFW flights cancelled?
2% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MSP to DFW?
June 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 65% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 90%. If your dates are flexible, that 25-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 6,875 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.