FlightRecord

Chicago (MDW) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

Chicago (MDW) to Minneapolis (MSP) effectively runs on two schedules. In October 2024, 92% of arrivals were on time; in June 2024 that fell to 48% — a 44-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 78% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (85% vs 71%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
78%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
16 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.8%
Flights/day
7.1
last 12 months
Duration
1h 34m
scheduled
Distance
349 mi

Best airline from MDW to MSP

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
SkyWest Airlinesmost reliable78%20 min0.7%1,982
Southwest Airlines77%14 min0.9%3,394

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MDW to MSP flights50%75%100%June 2024: 48% on-time (252 flights)48Jun 2024July 2024: 56% on-time (260 flights)56August 2024: 70% on-time (256 flights)70September 2024: 85% on-time (247 flights)85Sep 2024October 2024: 92% on-time (238 flights)92November 2024: 91% on-time (220 flights)91December 2024: 80% on-time (228 flights)80Dec 2024January 2025: 81% on-time (211 flights)81February 2025: 84% on-time (190 flights)84March 2025: 85% on-time (228 flights)85Mar 2025April 2025: 84% on-time (221 flights)84May 2025: 83% on-time (230 flights)83June 2025: 77% on-time (242 flights)77Jun 2025July 2025: 69% on-time (249 flights)69August 2025: 74% on-time (237 flights)74September 2025: 81% on-time (232 flights)81Sep 2025October 2025: 87% on-time (246 flights)87November 2025: 87% on-time (215 flights)87December 2025: 62% on-time (214 flights)62Dec 2025January 2026: 74% on-time (186 flights)74February 2026: 87% on-time (180 flights)87March 2026: 69% on-time (225 flights)69Mar 2026April 2026: 83% on-time (220 flights)83May 2026: 84% on-time (149 flights)84

Best time to fly from MDW to MSP

Aim for departures around 8 a.m. (92% on-time); avoid 9 p.m. departures (59%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MDW to MSP6 a.m.: 83% on-time (42 flights)67 a.m.: 83% on-time (297 flights)78 a.m.: 92% on-time (392 flights)89 a.m.: 82% on-time (617 flights)910 a.m.: 89% on-time (312 flights)1011 a.m.: 80% on-time (376 flights)1112 p.m.: 74% on-time (184 flights)121 p.m.: 80% on-time (496 flights)132 p.m.: 82% on-time (379 flights)143 p.m.: 72% on-time (280 flights)154 p.m.: 63% on-time (187 flights)165 p.m.: 72% on-time (254 flights)176 p.m.: 71% on-time (265 flights)187 p.m.: 73% on-time (657 flights)198 p.m.: 81% on-time (240 flights)209 p.m.: 59% on-time (211 flights)2110 p.m.: 60% on-time (185 flights)22scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday74%17 min
Tuesday80%15 min
Wednesday79%14 min
Thursday75%19 min
Friday76%17 min
Saturdaybest84%10 min
Sunday76%21 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft24%
  • Airline operations45%
  • National airspace system18%
  • Weather13%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MDW to MSP delayed?
23% of MDW–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 16 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MDW to MSP?
SkyWest Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 78%, based on 1,982 flights. 2 airlines flew MDW–MSP frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MDW to MSP?
Departures around 8 a.m. have the best record (92% on-time), while departures around 9 p.m. have the worst (59%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MDW to MSP?
The scheduled MDW–MSP flight time averages 1h 34m over 349 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 23% of the time.
How often are MDW to MSP flights cancelled?
0.8% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MDW to MSP?
June 2024 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 48% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 92%. If your dates are flexible, that 44-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 5,376 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.