FlightRecord

Chicago (MDW) to Denver (DEN): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MDW–DEN. November 2024 flights landed on schedule 92% of the time, but December 2025 dropped to 59% — a gap of 34 points. Across the full period the route averages 77% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (88% vs 64%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
77%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
15 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.1%
Flights/day
6.2
last 12 months
Duration
2h 41m
scheduled
Distance
895 mi

Best airline from MDW to DEN

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Southwest Airlinesmost reliable77%15 min1.0%5,084
Frontier Airlines75%22 min1.7%467

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MDW to DEN flights50%75%100%August 2024: 77% on-time (284 flights)77Aug 2024September 2024: 92% on-time (265 flights)92October 2024: 92% on-time (272 flights)92November 2024: 92% on-time (239 flights)92Nov 2024December 2024: 86% on-time (246 flights)86January 2025: 82% on-time (216 flights)82February 2025: 81% on-time (189 flights)81Feb 2025March 2025: 83% on-time (217 flights)83April 2025: 76% on-time (215 flights)76May 2025: 69% on-time (212 flights)69May 2025June 2025: 66% on-time (277 flights)66July 2025: 62% on-time (299 flights)62August 2025: 73% on-time (226 flights)73Aug 2025September 2025: 85% on-time (202 flights)85October 2025: 81% on-time (213 flights)81November 2025: 82% on-time (188 flights)82Nov 2025December 2025: 59% on-time (197 flights)59January 2026: 81% on-time (158 flights)81February 2026: 78% on-time (139 flights)78Feb 2026March 2026: 67% on-time (169 flights)67April 2026: 73% on-time (161 flights)73May 2026: 77% on-time (163 flights)77May 2026June 2026: 64% on-time (220 flights)64July 2026: 73% on-time (235 flights)73

Best time to fly from MDW to DEN

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (96% on-time); avoid 6 p.m. departures (57%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MDW to DEN5 a.m.: 96% on-time (402 flights)56 a.m.: 89% on-time (368 flights)67 a.m.: 88% on-time (371 flights)78 a.m.: 85% on-time (329 flights)89 a.m.: 88% on-time (351 flights)910 a.m.: 85% on-time (320 flights)1011 a.m.: 82% on-time (326 flights)1112 p.m.: 83% on-time (357 flights)121 p.m.: 87% on-time (206 flights)132 p.m.: 70% on-time (339 flights)143 p.m.: 69% on-time (238 flights)154 p.m.: 59% on-time (335 flights)165 p.m.: 60% on-time (394 flights)176 p.m.: 57% on-time (232 flights)187 p.m.: 70% on-time (209 flights)198 p.m.: 73% on-time (305 flights)209 p.m.: 58% on-time (250 flights)2110 p.m.: 71% on-time (219 flights)22scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday76%16 min
Tuesday79%14 min
Wednesdaybest82%12 min
Thursday73%17 min
Friday76%17 min
Saturday81%10 min
Sunday76%18 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft41%
  • Airline operations28%
  • National airspace system27%
  • Weather4%
  • Security1%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MDW to DEN delayed?
23% of MDW–DEN flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 15 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MDW to DEN?
Southwest Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 77%, based on 5,084 flights. 2 airlines flew MDW–DEN frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MDW to DEN?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (96% on-time), while departures around 6 p.m. have the worst (57%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MDW to DEN?
The scheduled MDW–DEN flight time averages 2h 41m over 895 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 23% of the time.
How often are MDW to DEN flights cancelled?
1.1% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MDW to DEN?
December 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 59% of arrivals on time. The best was November 2024 at 92%. If your dates are flexible, that 34-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 5,551 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.