FlightRecord

Chicago (MDW) to Denver (DEN): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MDW–DEN. November 2024 flights landed on schedule 92% of the time, but December 2025 dropped to 59% — a gap of 34 points. Across the full period the route averages 77% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (88% vs 64%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
77%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
15 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.0%
Flights/day
6.6
last 12 months
Duration
2h 41m
scheduled
Distance
895 mi

Best airline from MDW to DEN

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Southwest Airlinesmost reliable78%14 min0.9%4,922
Frontier Airlines75%23 min2.1%512

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MDW to DEN flights50%75%100%June 2024: 69% on-time (338 flights)69Jun 2024July 2024: 78% on-time (349 flights)78August 2024: 77% on-time (284 flights)77September 2024: 92% on-time (265 flights)92Sep 2024October 2024: 92% on-time (272 flights)92November 2024: 92% on-time (239 flights)92December 2024: 86% on-time (246 flights)86Dec 2024January 2025: 82% on-time (216 flights)82February 2025: 81% on-time (189 flights)81March 2025: 83% on-time (217 flights)83Mar 2025April 2025: 76% on-time (215 flights)76May 2025: 69% on-time (212 flights)69June 2025: 66% on-time (277 flights)66Jun 2025July 2025: 62% on-time (299 flights)62August 2025: 73% on-time (226 flights)73September 2025: 85% on-time (202 flights)85Sep 2025October 2025: 81% on-time (213 flights)81November 2025: 82% on-time (188 flights)82December 2025: 59% on-time (197 flights)59Dec 2025January 2026: 81% on-time (158 flights)81February 2026: 78% on-time (139 flights)78March 2026: 67% on-time (169 flights)67Mar 2026April 2026: 73% on-time (161 flights)73May 2026: 77% on-time (163 flights)77

Best time to fly from MDW to DEN

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (94% on-time); avoid 9 p.m. departures (54%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MDW to DEN5 a.m.: 94% on-time (406 flights)56 a.m.: 90% on-time (344 flights)67 a.m.: 88% on-time (371 flights)78 a.m.: 85% on-time (346 flights)89 a.m.: 89% on-time (307 flights)910 a.m.: 86% on-time (321 flights)1011 a.m.: 84% on-time (294 flights)1112 p.m.: 83% on-time (372 flights)121 p.m.: 87% on-time (221 flights)132 p.m.: 74% on-time (308 flights)143 p.m.: 69% on-time (233 flights)154 p.m.: 60% on-time (309 flights)165 p.m.: 60% on-time (407 flights)176 p.m.: 58% on-time (190 flights)187 p.m.: 69% on-time (235 flights)198 p.m.: 73% on-time (305 flights)209 p.m.: 54% on-time (222 flights)2110 p.m.: 69% on-time (243 flights)22scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday76%15 min
Tuesday78%16 min
Wednesdaybest82%11 min
Thursday74%16 min
Friday75%18 min
Saturday81%11 min
Sunday76%17 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Airline operations27%
  • National airspace system26%
  • Weather4%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MDW to DEN delayed?
23% of MDW–DEN flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 15 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MDW to DEN?
Southwest Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 78%, based on 4,922 flights. 2 airlines flew MDW–DEN frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MDW to DEN?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (94% on-time), while departures around 9 p.m. have the worst (54%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MDW to DEN?
The scheduled MDW–DEN flight time averages 2h 41m over 895 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 23% of the time.
How often are MDW to DEN flights cancelled?
1% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MDW to DEN?
December 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 59% of arrivals on time. The best was November 2024 at 92%. If your dates are flexible, that 34-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 5,434 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.