FlightRecord

Orlando (MCO) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

When you fly MCO to MSP matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 93% on-time in October 2024 to just 63% in July 2025. Across the full period the route averages 79% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (90% vs 64%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
79%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
20 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.4%
Flights/day
5.3
last 12 months
Duration
3h 36m
scheduled
Distance
1,310 mi

Best airline from MCO to MSP

3 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Southwest Airlinesmost reliable84%15 min0.0%81
Frontier Airlines83%21 min2.1%143
Delta Air Lines79%20 min1.4%3,750

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MCO to MSP flights50%75%100%June 2024: 70% on-time (162 flights)70Jun 2024July 2024: 64% on-time (161 flights)64August 2024: 70% on-time (153 flights)70September 2024: 88% on-time (126 flights)88Sep 2024October 2024: 93% on-time (152 flights)93November 2024: 90% on-time (153 flights)90December 2024: 79% on-time (184 flights)79Dec 2024January 2025: 85% on-time (177 flights)85February 2025: 87% on-time (167 flights)87March 2025: 79% on-time (244 flights)79Mar 2025April 2025: 87% on-time (217 flights)87May 2025: 76% on-time (162 flights)76June 2025: 66% on-time (150 flights)66Jun 2025July 2025: 63% on-time (153 flights)63August 2025: 71% on-time (134 flights)71September 2025: 90% on-time (120 flights)90Sep 2025October 2025: 89% on-time (146 flights)89November 2025: 81% on-time (140 flights)81December 2025: 75% on-time (166 flights)75Dec 2025January 2026: 73% on-time (157 flights)73February 2026: 71% on-time (166 flights)71March 2026: 80% on-time (237 flights)80Mar 2026April 2026: 86% on-time (211 flights)86May 2026: 77% on-time (165 flights)77

Best time to fly from MCO to MSP

Aim for departures around 1 p.m. (95% on-time); avoid 9 p.m. departures (60%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MCO to MSP5 a.m.: 92% on-time (38 flights)56 a.m.: 93% on-time (681 flights)67 a.m.: 92% on-time (224 flights)78 a.m.: 94% on-time (148 flights)89 a.m.: 89% on-time (123 flights)910 a.m.: 80% on-time (152 flights)1011 a.m.: 86% on-time (330 flights)1112 p.m.: 86% on-time (282 flights)121 p.m.: 95% on-time (73 flights)132 p.m.: 72% on-time (220 flights)143 p.m.: 74% on-time (397 flights)154 p.m.: 66% on-time (281 flights)166 p.m.: 65% on-time (711 flights)188 p.m.: 66% on-time (67 flights)209 p.m.: 60% on-time (246 flights)21scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday79%23 min
Tuesday82%19 min
Wednesdaybest85%12 min
Thursday79%17 min
Friday80%19 min
Saturday77%20 min
Sunday73%26 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft40%
  • Airline operations37%
  • National airspace system15%
  • Weather7%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MCO to MSP delayed?
21% of MCO–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 20 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MCO to MSP?
Southwest Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 84%, based on 81 flights. 3 airlines flew MCO–MSP frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MCO to MSP?
Departures around 1 p.m. have the best record (95% on-time), while departures around 9 p.m. have the worst (60%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MCO to MSP?
The scheduled MCO–MSP flight time averages 3h 36m over 1,310 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 21% of the time.
How often are MCO to MSP flights cancelled?
1.4% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MCO to MSP?
July 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 63% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 93%. If your dates are flexible, that 30-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 4,003 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.