Minneapolis (MSP) to Orlando (MCO): On-Time Performance
Data through July 2026
The calendar drives reliability on MSP–MCO. October 2024 flights landed on schedule 91% of the time, but January 2026 dropped to 62% — a gap of 29 points. Across the full period the route averages 76% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (83% vs 68%), which matters most in the rough months.
- On-time
- 76%
- arrived <15 min late
- Avg delay
- 18 min
- completed flights
- Cancelled
- 1.5%
- Flights/day
- 5.3
- last 12 months
- Duration
- 3h 17m
- scheduled
- Distance
- 1,310 mi
Best airline from MSP to MCO
3 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.
| Airline | On-time | Avg delay | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Airlinesmost reliable | 78% | 13 min | 1.4% | 72 |
| Frontier Airlines | 77% | 34 min | 2.1% | 140 |
| Delta Air Lines | 76% | 18 min | 1.5% | 3,899 |
Monthly on-time trend
Best time to fly from MSP to MCO
Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (90% on-time); avoid 6 p.m. departures (65%).
By day of week
| Day | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | 77% | 18 min |
| Tuesdaybest | 84% | 13 min |
| Wednesday | 78% | 14 min |
| Thursday | 79% | 16 min |
| Friday | 74% | 18 min |
| Saturday | 72% | 23 min |
| Sunday | 70% | 25 min |
What causes delays on this route
Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.
- Late-arriving aircraft21%
- Airline operations52%
- National airspace system25%
- Weather3%
Frequently asked questions
- How often are flights from MSP to MCO delayed?
- 24% of MSP–MCO flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 18 minutes.
- Which airline is most reliable from MSP to MCO?
- Southwest Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 78%, based on 72 flights. 3 airlines flew MSP–MCO frequently enough to compare in this period.
- What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to MCO?
- Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (90% on-time), while departures around 6 p.m. have the worst (65%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
- How long is the flight from MSP to MCO?
- The scheduled MSP–MCO flight time averages 3h 17m over 1,310 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 24% of the time.
- How often are MSP to MCO flights cancelled?
- 1.5% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
- What is the worst month to fly from MSP to MCO?
- January 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 62% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 91%. If your dates are flexible, that 29-point gap is worth planning around.
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Based on 4,140 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.