FlightRecord

Minneapolis (MSP) to Washington (DCA): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

When you fly MSP to DCA matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 91% on-time in October 2024 to just 57% in February 2025. Across the full period the route averages 74% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (83% vs 64%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
74%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
21 min
completed flights
Cancelled
2.9%
Flights/day
7.1
last 12 months
Duration
2h 30m
scheduled
Distance
931 mi

Best airline from MSP to DCA

4 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Republic Airwaysmost reliable77%16 min3.8%372
Delta Air Lines76%15 min1.7%3,568
PSA Airlines67%40 min6.6%1,046
Envoy Air67%22 min4.2%165

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MSP to DCA flights50%75%100%August 2024: 72% on-time (211 flights)72Aug 2024September 2024: 89% on-time (195 flights)89October 2024: 91% on-time (197 flights)91November 2024: 85% on-time (197 flights)85Nov 2024December 2024: 69% on-time (203 flights)69January 2025: 83% on-time (208 flights)83February 2025: 57% on-time (185 flights)57Feb 2025March 2025: 71% on-time (201 flights)71April 2025: 79% on-time (194 flights)79May 2025: 76% on-time (199 flights)76May 2025June 2025: 64% on-time (195 flights)64July 2025: 60% on-time (203 flights)60August 2025: 72% on-time (203 flights)72Aug 2025September 2025: 82% on-time (216 flights)82October 2025: 80% on-time (224 flights)80November 2025: 73% on-time (207 flights)73Nov 2025December 2025: 65% on-time (213 flights)65January 2026: 70% on-time (223 flights)70February 2026: 73% on-time (200 flights)73Feb 2026March 2026: 71% on-time (221 flights)71April 2026: 81% on-time (216 flights)81May 2026: 83% on-time (224 flights)83May 2026June 2026: 72% on-time (224 flights)72July 2026: 65% on-time (229 flights)65

Best time to fly from MSP to DCA

Aim for departures around 7 a.m. (85% on-time); avoid 5 p.m. departures (58%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MSP to DCA5 a.m.: 70% on-time (182 flights)56 a.m.: 83% on-time (177 flights)67 a.m.: 85% on-time (835 flights)710 a.m.: 85% on-time (777 flights)1011 a.m.: 76% on-time (111 flights)1112 p.m.: 74% on-time (362 flights)122 p.m.: 74% on-time (730 flights)143 p.m.: 64% on-time (209 flights)155 p.m.: 58% on-time (462 flights)176 p.m.: 61% on-time (593 flights)187 p.m.: 85% on-time (41 flights)198 p.m.: 70% on-time (701 flights)20scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday76%21 min
Tuesday78%19 min
Wednesday73%22 min
Thursday69%23 min
Friday72%22 min
Saturdaybest81%12 min
Sunday73%23 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft29%
  • Airline operations32%
  • National airspace system30%
  • Weather9%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MSP to DCA delayed?
26% of MSP–DCA flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 21 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MSP to DCA?
Republic Airways has the best on-time record on this route at 77%, based on 372 flights. 4 airlines flew MSP–DCA frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to DCA?
Departures around 7 a.m. have the best record (85% on-time), while departures around 5 p.m. have the worst (58%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MSP to DCA?
The scheduled MSP–DCA flight time averages 2h 30m over 931 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 26% of the time.
How often are MSP to DCA flights cancelled?
2.9% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MSP to DCA?
February 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 57% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 91%. If your dates are flexible, that 34-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 5,200 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.