FlightRecord

New York (JFK) to Minneapolis (MSP): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

When you fly JFK to MSP matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 94% on-time in September 2024 to just 65% in December 2025. Across the full period the route averages 82% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (87% vs 68%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
82%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
19 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.3%
Flights/day
2.0
last 12 months
Duration
3h 17m
scheduled
Distance
1,029 mi

Best airline from JFK to MSP

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
SkyWest Airlinesmost reliable83%9 min0.0%122
Delta Air Lines81%20 min1.4%1,599

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for JFK to MSP flights50%75%100%July 2024: 66% on-time (93 flights)66Jul 2024August 2024: 69% on-time (94 flights)69September 2024: 94% on-time (90 flights)94October 2024: 84% on-time (93 flights)84Oct 2024November 2024: 94% on-time (90 flights)94December 2024: 83% on-time (93 flights)83January 2025: 85% on-time (39 flights)85Jan 2025February 2025: 79% on-time (28 flights)79March 2025: 87% on-time (54 flights)87April 2025: 78% on-time (60 flights)78Apr 2025May 2025: 87% on-time (87 flights)87June 2025: 77% on-time (90 flights)77July 2025: 79% on-time (93 flights)79Jul 2025August 2025: 82% on-time (93 flights)82September 2025: 90% on-time (90 flights)90October 2025: 81% on-time (93 flights)81Oct 2025November 2025: 80% on-time (89 flights)80December 2025: 65% on-time (91 flights)65January 2026: 64% on-time (11 flights)64Jan 2026April 2026: 86% on-time (36 flights)86May 2026: 86% on-time (87 flights)86June 2026: 85% on-time (67 flights)85Jun 2026July 2026: 81% on-time (62 flights)81

Best time to fly from JFK to MSP

Aim for departures around 12 p.m. (94% on-time); avoid 5 p.m. departures (63%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, JFK to MSP6 a.m.: 90% on-time (175 flights)67 a.m.: 87% on-time (374 flights)78 a.m.: 83% on-time (29 flights)811 a.m.: 85% on-time (594 flights)1112 p.m.: 94% on-time (62 flights)125 p.m.: 63% on-time (239 flights)176 p.m.: 72% on-time (247 flights)18scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday83%15 min
Tuesday83%26 min
Wednesdaybest85%16 min
Thursday78%20 min
Friday82%14 min
Saturday77%25 min
Sunday82%17 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft31%
  • Airline operations39%
  • National airspace system29%
  • Weather1%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from JFK to MSP delayed?
19% of JFK–MSP flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 19 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from JFK to MSP?
SkyWest Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 83%, based on 122 flights. 2 airlines flew JFK–MSP frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from JFK to MSP?
Departures around 12 p.m. have the best record (94% on-time), while departures around 5 p.m. have the worst (63%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from JFK to MSP?
The scheduled JFK–MSP flight time averages 3h 17m over 1,029 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 19% of the time.
How often are JFK to MSP flights cancelled?
1.3% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from JFK to MSP?
December 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 65% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2024 at 94%. If your dates are flexible, that 30-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 1,723 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.