FlightRecord

Minneapolis (MSP) to St. Louis (STL): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

Minneapolis (MSP) to St. Louis (STL) effectively runs on two schedules. In October 2024, 93% of arrivals were on time; in July 2024 that fell to 64% — a 29-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 81% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (91% vs 71%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
81%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
14 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.0%
Flights/day
5.3
last 12 months
Duration
1h 34m
scheduled
Distance
448 mi

Best airline from MSP to STL

3 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Southwest Airlinesmost reliable82%11 min0.6%1,350
Delta Air Lines81%13 min1.2%2,060
SkyWest Airlines76%22 min1.1%544

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MSP to STL flights50%75%100%August 2024: 81% on-time (173 flights)81Aug 2024September 2024: 92% on-time (166 flights)92October 2024: 93% on-time (177 flights)93November 2024: 84% on-time (159 flights)84Nov 2024December 2024: 78% on-time (171 flights)78January 2025: 81% on-time (145 flights)81February 2025: 84% on-time (145 flights)84Feb 2025March 2025: 83% on-time (170 flights)83April 2025: 84% on-time (151 flights)84May 2025: 86% on-time (145 flights)86May 2025June 2025: 78% on-time (144 flights)78July 2025: 68% on-time (146 flights)68August 2025: 79% on-time (159 flights)79Aug 2025September 2025: 84% on-time (170 flights)84October 2025: 80% on-time (138 flights)80November 2025: 84% on-time (134 flights)84Nov 2025December 2025: 69% on-time (144 flights)69January 2026: 79% on-time (150 flights)79February 2026: 87% on-time (149 flights)87Feb 2026March 2026: 75% on-time (186 flights)75April 2026: 84% on-time (183 flights)84May 2026: 88% on-time (172 flights)88May 2026June 2026: 71% on-time (165 flights)71July 2026: 78% on-time (186 flights)78

Best time to fly from MSP to STL

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (97% on-time); avoid 5 p.m. departures (57%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MSP to STL5 a.m.: 97% on-time (288 flights)56 a.m.: 97% on-time (228 flights)67 a.m.: 91% on-time (180 flights)78 a.m.: 89% on-time (306 flights)89 a.m.: 86% on-time (318 flights)910 a.m.: 81% on-time (125 flights)1012 p.m.: 83% on-time (210 flights)121 p.m.: 77% on-time (390 flights)132 p.m.: 66% on-time (58 flights)143 p.m.: 80% on-time (645 flights)154 p.m.: 69% on-time (192 flights)165 p.m.: 57% on-time (166 flights)176 p.m.: 62% on-time (89 flights)187 p.m.: 60% on-time (37 flights)198 p.m.: 78% on-time (203 flights)209 p.m.: 75% on-time (563 flights)21scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday76%17 min
Tuesdaybest85%11 min
Wednesday82%11 min
Thursday80%16 min
Friday78%14 min
Saturday83%11 min
Sunday82%14 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft29%
  • Airline operations53%
  • National airspace system14%
  • Weather5%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MSP to STL delayed?
19% of MSP–STL flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 14 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MSP to STL?
Southwest Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 82%, based on 1,350 flights. 3 airlines flew MSP–STL frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to STL?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (97% on-time), while departures around 5 p.m. have the worst (57%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MSP to STL?
The scheduled MSP–STL flight time averages 1h 34m over 448 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 19% of the time.
How often are MSP to STL flights cancelled?
1% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MSP to STL?
July 2024 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 64% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 93%. If your dates are flexible, that 29-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 4,001 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.