FlightRecord

Minneapolis (MSP) to Louisville (SDF): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MSP–SDF. October 2024 flights landed on schedule 93% of the time, but July 2024 dropped to 70% — a gap of 23 points. Across the full period the route averages 83% on-time against a national 78%.

On-time
83%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
11 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.9%
Flights/day
1.4
last 12 months
Duration
2h 1m
scheduled
Distance
604 mi

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MSP to SDF flights50%75%100%July 2024: 70% on-time (85 flights)70Jul 2024August 2024: 78% on-time (85 flights)78September 2024: 91% on-time (81 flights)91October 2024: 93% on-time (87 flights)93Oct 2024November 2024: 88% on-time (81 flights)88December 2024: 76% on-time (75 flights)76January 2025: 84% on-time (57 flights)84Jan 2025February 2025: 84% on-time (50 flights)84March 2025: 83% on-time (57 flights)83April 2025: 90% on-time (72 flights)90Apr 2025May 2025: 80% on-time (40 flights)80June 2025: 79% on-time (95 flights)79July 2025: 82% on-time (65 flights)82Jul 2025August 2025: 78% on-time (82 flights)78September 2025: 91% on-time (63 flights)91October 2025: 100% on-time (9 flights)100Oct 2025November 2025: 100% on-time (2 flights)100January 2026: 70% on-time (10 flights)70February 2026: 82% on-time (39 flights)82Feb 2026March 2026: 81% on-time (75 flights)81April 2026: 85% on-time (94 flights)85May 2026: 79% on-time (117 flights)79May 2026June 2026: 77% on-time (35 flights)77

Best time to fly from MSP to SDF

Aim for departures around 10 a.m. (89% on-time); avoid 3 p.m. departures (73%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MSP to SDF8 a.m.: 87% on-time (98 flights)89 a.m.: 84% on-time (102 flights)910 a.m.: 89% on-time (170 flights)1012 p.m.: 81% on-time (302 flights)121 p.m.: 84% on-time (37 flights)133 p.m.: 73% on-time (193 flights)154 p.m.: 76% on-time (46 flights)167 p.m.: 87% on-time (185 flights)198 p.m.: 82% on-time (322 flights)20scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday76%15 min
Tuesday83%11 min
Wednesday82%12 min
Thursday78%12 min
Friday84%11 min
Saturdaybest94%7 min
Sunday85%11 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Airline operations65%
  • National airspace system18%
  • Weather17%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MSP to SDF delayed?
18% of MSP–SDF flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 11 minutes.
What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to SDF?
Departures around 10 a.m. have the best record (89% on-time), while departures around 3 p.m. have the worst (73%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MSP to SDF?
The scheduled MSP–SDF flight time averages 2h 1m over 604 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 18% of the time.
How often are MSP to SDF flights cancelled?
0.9% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MSP to SDF?
July 2024 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 70% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 93%. If your dates are flexible, that 23-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 1,456 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.