FlightRecord

Minneapolis (MSP) to Nashville (BNA): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MSP–BNA. October 2024 flights landed on schedule 94% of the time, but July 2024 dropped to 65% — a gap of 29 points. Across the full period the route averages 82% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (89% vs 75%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
82%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
11 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.9%
Flights/day
4.7
last 12 months
Duration
2h 4m
scheduled
Distance
695 mi

Best airline from MSP to BNA

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Delta Air Linesmost reliable83%10 min0.9%2,445
Southwest Airlines78%13 min1.0%878

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MSP to BNA flights50%75%100%June 2024: 73% on-time (149 flights)73Jun 2024July 2024: 65% on-time (151 flights)65August 2024: 85% on-time (148 flights)85September 2024: 92% on-time (141 flights)92Sep 2024October 2024: 94% on-time (153 flights)94November 2024: 91% on-time (139 flights)91December 2024: 82% on-time (123 flights)82Dec 2024January 2025: 82% on-time (119 flights)82February 2025: 76% on-time (106 flights)76March 2025: 84% on-time (126 flights)84Mar 2025April 2025: 74% on-time (126 flights)74May 2025: 81% on-time (141 flights)81June 2025: 80% on-time (150 flights)80Jun 2025July 2025: 76% on-time (154 flights)76August 2025: 89% on-time (149 flights)89September 2025: 91% on-time (141 flights)91Sep 2025October 2025: 84% on-time (154 flights)84November 2025: 83% on-time (137 flights)83December 2025: 70% on-time (122 flights)70Dec 2025January 2026: 82% on-time (113 flights)82February 2026: 88% on-time (101 flights)88March 2026: 74% on-time (149 flights)74Mar 2026April 2026: 84% on-time (160 flights)84May 2026: 82% on-time (171 flights)82

Best time to fly from MSP to BNA

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (92% on-time); avoid 6 p.m. departures (55%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MSP to BNA6 a.m.: 92% on-time (369 flights)67 a.m.: 88% on-time (495 flights)79 a.m.: 88% on-time (81 flights)911 a.m.: 84% on-time (67 flights)1112 p.m.: 89% on-time (483 flights)121 p.m.: 73% on-time (134 flights)132 p.m.: 71% on-time (137 flights)143 p.m.: 80% on-time (593 flights)154 p.m.: 66% on-time (109 flights)165 p.m.: 56% on-time (37 flights)176 p.m.: 55% on-time (31 flights)187 p.m.: 72% on-time (162 flights)198 p.m.: 78% on-time (532 flights)209 p.m.: 77% on-time (57 flights)21scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday80%10 min
Tuesday86%7 min
Wednesdaybest87%7 min
Thursday80%12 min
Friday77%14 min
Saturday84%11 min
Sunday80%14 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft30%
  • Airline operations43%
  • National airspace system24%
  • Weather3%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MSP to BNA delayed?
18% of MSP–BNA flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 11 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MSP to BNA?
Delta Air Lines has the best on-time record on this route at 83%, based on 2,445 flights. 2 airlines flew MSP–BNA frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MSP to BNA?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (92% on-time), while departures around 6 p.m. have the worst (55%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MSP to BNA?
The scheduled MSP–BNA flight time averages 2h 4m over 695 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 18% of the time.
How often are MSP to BNA flights cancelled?
0.9% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MSP to BNA?
July 2024 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 65% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 94%. If your dates are flexible, that 29-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 3,323 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.