Chicago (MDW) to Sarasota/Bradenton (SRQ): On-Time Performance
Data through May 2026
The calendar drives reliability on MDW–SRQ. September 2024 flights landed on schedule 97% of the time, but May 2025 dropped to 58% — a gap of 40 points. Across the full period the route averages 74% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (79% vs 69%), which matters most in the rough months.
- On-time
- 74%
- arrived <15 min late
- Avg delay
- 13 min
- completed flights
- Cancelled
- 1.8%
- Flights/day
- 1.4
- last 12 months
- Duration
- 2h 38m
- scheduled
- Distance
- 1,035 mi
Monthly on-time trend
Best time to fly from MDW to SRQ
Aim for departures around 12 p.m. (84% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (57%).
By day of week
| Day | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|
| Monday | 68% | 15 min |
| Tuesdaybest | 79% | 11 min |
| Wednesday | 74% | 12 min |
| Thursday | 72% | 15 min |
| Friday | 74% | 14 min |
| Saturday | 78% | 11 min |
| Sunday | 73% | 15 min |
What causes delays on this route
Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.
- Late-arriving aircraft48%
- Airline operations24%
- National airspace system25%
- Weather1%
- Security2%
Frequently asked questions
- How often are flights from MDW to SRQ delayed?
- 26% of MDW–SRQ flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 13 minutes.
- What is the best time of day to fly from MDW to SRQ?
- Departures around 12 p.m. have the best record (84% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (57%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
- How long is the flight from MDW to SRQ?
- The scheduled MDW–SRQ flight time averages 2h 38m over 1,035 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 26% of the time.
- How often are MDW to SRQ flights cancelled?
- 1.8% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
- What is the worst month to fly from MDW to SRQ?
- May 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 58% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2024 at 97%. If your dates are flexible, that 40-point gap is worth planning around.
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Based on 996 flights, 2024-06–2026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.