FlightRecord

Chicago (MDW) to Raleigh/Durham (RDU): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MDW–RDU. January 2026 flights landed on schedule 92% of the time, but July 2026 dropped to 65% — a gap of 27 points. Across the full period the route averages 80% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (90% vs 71%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
80%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
12 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.2%
Flights/day
2.6
last 12 months
Duration
1h 51m
scheduled
Distance
632 mi

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MDW to RDU flights50%75%100%August 2024: 73% on-time (105 flights)73Aug 2024September 2024: 84% on-time (90 flights)84October 2024: 86% on-time (80 flights)86November 2024: 85% on-time (86 flights)85Nov 2024December 2024: 79% on-time (91 flights)79January 2025: 84% on-time (68 flights)84February 2025: 89% on-time (56 flights)89Feb 2025March 2025: 80% on-time (62 flights)80April 2025: 89% on-time (65 flights)89May 2025: 88% on-time (66 flights)88May 2025June 2025: 73% on-time (110 flights)73July 2025: 68% on-time (119 flights)68August 2025: 82% on-time (93 flights)82Aug 2025September 2025: 90% on-time (90 flights)90October 2025: 85% on-time (80 flights)85November 2025: 89% on-time (85 flights)89Nov 2025December 2025: 78% on-time (89 flights)78January 2026: 92% on-time (67 flights)92February 2026: 89% on-time (56 flights)89Feb 2026March 2026: 75% on-time (66 flights)75April 2026: 81% on-time (74 flights)81May 2026: 83% on-time (80 flights)83May 2026June 2026: 68% on-time (88 flights)68July 2026: 65% on-time (92 flights)65

Best time to fly from MDW to RDU

Aim for departures around 7 a.m. (93% on-time); avoid 11 a.m. departures (56%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MDW to RDU7 a.m.: 93% on-time (180 flights)78 a.m.: 91% on-time (216 flights)89 a.m.: 90% on-time (195 flights)910 a.m.: 91% on-time (113 flights)1011 a.m.: 56% on-time (36 flights)1112 p.m.: 81% on-time (43 flights)121 p.m.: 79% on-time (282 flights)132 p.m.: 71% on-time (123 flights)143 p.m.: 83% on-time (64 flights)154 p.m.: 81% on-time (86 flights)165 p.m.: 74% on-time (110 flights)176 p.m.: 73% on-time (353 flights)187 p.m.: 71% on-time (111 flights)198 p.m.: 66% on-time (173 flights)20scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday79%11 min
Tuesdaybest83%9 min
Wednesday79%12 min
Thursday82%12 min
Friday80%12 min
Saturday81%10 min
Sunday74%17 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft50%
  • Airline operations32%
  • National airspace system15%
  • Weather3%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MDW to RDU delayed?
20% of MDW–RDU flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 12 minutes.
What is the best time of day to fly from MDW to RDU?
Departures around 7 a.m. have the best record (93% on-time), while departures around 11 a.m. have the worst (56%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MDW to RDU?
The scheduled MDW–RDU flight time averages 1h 51m over 632 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 20% of the time.
How often are MDW to RDU flights cancelled?
1.2% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MDW to RDU?
July 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 65% of arrivals on time. The best was January 2026 at 92%. If your dates are flexible, that 27-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 2,091 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.