FlightRecord

Chicago (MDW) to Providence (PVD): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MDW–PVD. September 2025 flights landed on schedule 93% of the time, but January 2025 dropped to 58% — a gap of 35 points. Across the full period the route averages 76% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (91% vs 66%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
76%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
15 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.9%
Flights/day
2.1
last 12 months
Duration
2h 12m
scheduled
Distance
842 mi

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MDW to PVD flights50%75%100%August 2024: 76% on-time (90 flights)76Aug 2024September 2024: 89% on-time (89 flights)89October 2024: 90% on-time (76 flights)90November 2024: 87% on-time (37 flights)87Nov 2024December 2024: 62% on-time (42 flights)62January 2025: 58% on-time (31 flights)58February 2025: 89% on-time (26 flights)89Feb 2025March 2025: 71% on-time (31 flights)71April 2025: 83% on-time (30 flights)83May 2025: 74% on-time (31 flights)74May 2025June 2025: 74% on-time (74 flights)74July 2025: 69% on-time (84 flights)69August 2025: 73% on-time (86 flights)73Aug 2025September 2025: 93% on-time (86 flights)93October 2025: 86% on-time (76 flights)86November 2025: 76% on-time (34 flights)76Nov 2025December 2025: 70% on-time (40 flights)70January 2026: 86% on-time (29 flights)86February 2026: 77% on-time (28 flights)77Feb 2026March 2026: 62% on-time (77 flights)62April 2026: 80% on-time (79 flights)80May 2026: 75% on-time (77 flights)75May 2026June 2026: 68% on-time (82 flights)68July 2026: 77% on-time (85 flights)77

Best time to fly from MDW to PVD

Aim for departures around 10 a.m. (98% on-time); avoid 9 p.m. departures (40%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MDW to PVD7 a.m.: 93% on-time (124 flights)78 a.m.: 96% on-time (45 flights)89 a.m.: 87% on-time (150 flights)910 a.m.: 98% on-time (56 flights)1012 p.m.: 85% on-time (87 flights)121 p.m.: 78% on-time (249 flights)132 p.m.: 84% on-time (32 flights)143 p.m.: 73% on-time (22 flights)154 p.m.: 67% on-time (33 flights)165 p.m.: 78% on-time (83 flights)176 p.m.: 73% on-time (310 flights)187 p.m.: 59% on-time (110 flights)198 p.m.: 58% on-time (127 flights)209 p.m.: 40% on-time (51 flights)21scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday76%17 min
Tuesday80%15 min
Wednesdaybest81%11 min
Thursday76%16 min
Friday71%20 min
Saturday80%10 min
Sunday71%17 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft55%
  • Airline operations31%
  • National airspace system11%
  • Weather2%
  • Security1%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MDW to PVD delayed?
24% of MDW–PVD flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 15 minutes.
What is the best time of day to fly from MDW to PVD?
Departures around 10 a.m. have the best record (98% on-time), while departures around 9 p.m. have the worst (40%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MDW to PVD?
The scheduled MDW–PVD flight time averages 2h 12m over 842 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 24% of the time.
How often are MDW to PVD flights cancelled?
0.9% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MDW to PVD?
January 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 58% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2025 at 93%. If your dates are flexible, that 35-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 1,505 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.