FlightRecord

Chicago (MDW) to Providence (PVD): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MDW–PVD. September 2025 flights landed on schedule 93% of the time, but January 2025 dropped to 58% — a gap of 35 points. Across the full period the route averages 76% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (91% vs 66%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
76%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
16 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.8%
Flights/day
2.1
last 12 months
Duration
2h 11m
scheduled
Distance
842 mi

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MDW to PVD flights50%75%100%June 2024: 62% on-time (77 flights)62Jun 2024July 2024: 62% on-time (85 flights)62August 2024: 76% on-time (90 flights)76September 2024: 89% on-time (89 flights)89Sep 2024October 2024: 90% on-time (76 flights)90November 2024: 87% on-time (37 flights)87December 2024: 62% on-time (42 flights)62Dec 2024January 2025: 58% on-time (31 flights)58February 2025: 89% on-time (26 flights)89March 2025: 71% on-time (31 flights)71Mar 2025April 2025: 83% on-time (30 flights)83May 2025: 74% on-time (31 flights)74June 2025: 74% on-time (74 flights)74Jun 2025July 2025: 69% on-time (84 flights)69August 2025: 73% on-time (86 flights)73September 2025: 93% on-time (86 flights)93Sep 2025October 2025: 86% on-time (76 flights)86November 2025: 76% on-time (34 flights)76December 2025: 70% on-time (40 flights)70Dec 2025January 2026: 86% on-time (29 flights)86February 2026: 77% on-time (28 flights)77March 2026: 62% on-time (77 flights)62Mar 2026April 2026: 80% on-time (79 flights)80May 2026: 75% on-time (77 flights)75

Best time to fly from MDW to PVD

Aim for departures around 10 a.m. (98% on-time); avoid 9 p.m. departures (37%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MDW to PVD7 a.m.: 92% on-time (79 flights)78 a.m.: 96% on-time (46 flights)89 a.m.: 89% on-time (149 flights)910 a.m.: 98% on-time (56 flights)1011 a.m.: 75% on-time (20 flights)1112 p.m.: 85% on-time (86 flights)121 p.m.: 81% on-time (202 flights)132 p.m.: 78% on-time (40 flights)143 p.m.: 73% on-time (22 flights)154 p.m.: 68% on-time (44 flights)165 p.m.: 80% on-time (73 flights)176 p.m.: 75% on-time (267 flights)187 p.m.: 58% on-time (123 flights)198 p.m.: 58% on-time (127 flights)209 p.m.: 37% on-time (66 flights)21scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday77%17 min
Tuesday78%17 min
Wednesdaybest81%11 min
Thursday76%16 min
Friday72%20 min
Saturday78%11 min
Sunday70%18 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft57%
  • Airline operations29%
  • National airspace system11%
  • Weather2%
  • Security1%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MDW to PVD delayed?
24% of MDW–PVD flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 16 minutes.
What is the best time of day to fly from MDW to PVD?
Departures around 10 a.m. have the best record (98% on-time), while departures around 9 p.m. have the worst (37%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MDW to PVD?
The scheduled MDW–PVD flight time averages 2h 11m over 842 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 24% of the time.
How often are MDW to PVD flights cancelled?
0.8% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MDW to PVD?
January 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 58% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2025 at 93%. If your dates are flexible, that 35-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 1,415 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.