FlightRecord

Chicago (MDW) to Oakland (OAK): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

The calendar drives reliability on MDW–OAK. January 2025 flights landed on schedule 88% of the time, but December 2025 dropped to 36% — a gap of 51 points. Across the full period the route averages 70% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (77% vs 59%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
70%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
17 min
completed flights
Cancelled
0.7%
Flights/day
1.4
last 12 months
Duration
4h 36m
scheduled
Distance
1,844 mi

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MDW to OAK flights50%75%100%August 2024: 68% on-time (65 flights)68Aug 2024September 2024: 85% on-time (60 flights)85October 2024: 83% on-time (58 flights)83November 2024: 70% on-time (33 flights)70Nov 2024December 2024: 68% on-time (34 flights)68January 2025: 88% on-time (32 flights)88February 2025: 73% on-time (30 flights)73Feb 2025March 2025: 78% on-time (36 flights)78April 2025: 74% on-time (31 flights)74May 2025: 74% on-time (31 flights)74May 2025June 2025: 77% on-time (34 flights)77July 2025: 57% on-time (35 flights)57August 2025: 78% on-time (37 flights)78Aug 2025September 2025: 77% on-time (34 flights)77October 2025: 46% on-time (35 flights)46November 2025: 68% on-time (33 flights)68Nov 2025December 2025: 36% on-time (33 flights)36January 2026: 75% on-time (32 flights)75February 2026: 71% on-time (28 flights)71Feb 2026March 2026: 64% on-time (54 flights)64April 2026: 57% on-time (53 flights)57May 2026: 73% on-time (52 flights)73May 2026June 2026: 54% on-time (56 flights)54July 2026: 72% on-time (58 flights)72

Best time to fly from MDW to OAK

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (87% on-time); avoid 9 p.m. departures (51%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MDW to OAK6 a.m.: 87% on-time (38 flights)67 a.m.: 58% on-time (78 flights)78 a.m.: 84% on-time (108 flights)89 a.m.: 86% on-time (56 flights)910 a.m.: 75% on-time (121 flights)1011 a.m.: 76% on-time (41 flights)111 p.m.: 70% on-time (64 flights)133 p.m.: 83% on-time (46 flights)154 p.m.: 65% on-time (99 flights)165 p.m.: 71% on-time (78 flights)177 p.m.: 67% on-time (61 flights)198 p.m.: 59% on-time (53 flights)209 p.m.: 51% on-time (157 flights)21scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday62%24 min
Tuesdaybest78%15 min
Wednesday68%15 min
Thursday68%16 min
Friday72%17 min
Saturday75%13 min
Sunday64%19 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft40%
  • Airline operations36%
  • National airspace system17%
  • Weather7%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MDW to OAK delayed?
31% of MDW–OAK flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 17 minutes.
What is the best time of day to fly from MDW to OAK?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (87% on-time), while departures around 9 p.m. have the worst (51%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MDW to OAK?
The scheduled MDW–OAK flight time averages 4h 36m over 1,844 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 31% of the time.
How often are MDW to OAK flights cancelled?
0.7% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MDW to OAK?
December 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 36% of arrivals on time. The best was January 2025 at 88%. If your dates are flexible, that 51-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 1,073 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.