FlightRecord

Tampa (TPA) to Buffalo (BUF): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

The calendar drives reliability on TPA–BUF. September 2024 flights landed on schedule 98% of the time, but July 2025 dropped to 64% — a gap of 33 points. Across the full period the route averages 81% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (92% vs 66%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
81%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
13 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.3%
Flights/day
2.1
last 12 months
Duration
2h 43m
scheduled
Distance
1,053 mi

Best airline from TPA to BUF

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Southwest Airlinesmost reliable83%12 min1.2%1,203
Frontier Airlines73%18 min1.5%394

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for TPA to BUF flights50%75%100%June 2024: 78% on-time (51 flights)78Jun 2024July 2024: 88% on-time (48 flights)88August 2024: 82% on-time (52 flights)82September 2024: 98% on-time (43 flights)98Sep 2024October 2024: 91% on-time (50 flights)91November 2024: 93% on-time (56 flights)93December 2024: 83% on-time (64 flights)83Dec 2024January 2025: 85% on-time (76 flights)85February 2025: 79% on-time (85 flights)79March 2025: 68% on-time (103 flights)68Mar 2025April 2025: 79% on-time (98 flights)79May 2025: 82% on-time (88 flights)82June 2025: 81% on-time (59 flights)81Jun 2025July 2025: 64% on-time (56 flights)64August 2025: 87% on-time (75 flights)87September 2025: 95% on-time (65 flights)95Sep 2025October 2025: 82% on-time (62 flights)82November 2025: 78% on-time (60 flights)78December 2025: 76% on-time (56 flights)76Dec 2025January 2026: 84% on-time (64 flights)84February 2026: 71% on-time (71 flights)71March 2026: 76% on-time (76 flights)76Mar 2026April 2026: 82% on-time (73 flights)82May 2026: 77% on-time (66 flights)77

Best time to fly from TPA to BUF

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (96% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (58%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, TPA to BUF5 a.m.: 92% on-time (62 flights)56 a.m.: 96% on-time (122 flights)67 a.m.: 95% on-time (179 flights)78 a.m.: 92% on-time (149 flights)89 a.m.: 91% on-time (86 flights)910 a.m.: 88% on-time (138 flights)1011 a.m.: 90% on-time (64 flights)1112 p.m.: 88% on-time (75 flights)121 p.m.: 77% on-time (138 flights)132 p.m.: 64% on-time (104 flights)143 p.m.: 70% on-time (51 flights)154 p.m.: 61% on-time (83 flights)165 p.m.: 75% on-time (91 flights)176 p.m.: 72% on-time (81 flights)187 p.m.: 61% on-time (91 flights)198 p.m.: 58% on-time (55 flights)209 p.m.: 59% on-time (28 flights)21scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday83%12 min
Tuesday83%13 min
Wednesdaybest87%7 min
Thursday79%13 min
Friday82%12 min
Saturday80%14 min
Sunday75%20 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft54%
  • Airline operations26%
  • National airspace system17%
  • Weather3%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from TPA to BUF delayed?
19% of TPA–BUF flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 13 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from TPA to BUF?
Southwest Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 83%, based on 1,203 flights. 2 airlines flew TPA–BUF frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from TPA to BUF?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (96% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (58%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from TPA to BUF?
The scheduled TPA–BUF flight time averages 2h 43m over 1,053 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 19% of the time.
How often are TPA to BUF flights cancelled?
1.3% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from TPA to BUF?
July 2025 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 64% of arrivals on time. The best was September 2024 at 98%. If your dates are flexible, that 33-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 1,597 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.