FlightRecord

Nashville (BNA) to Chicago (MDW): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

The calendar drives reliability on BNA–MDW. October 2024 flights landed on schedule 96% of the time, but May 2026 dropped to 60% — a gap of 36 points. Across the full period the route averages 81% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (93% vs 71%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
81%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
11 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.1%
Flights/day
5.2
last 12 months
Duration
1h 36m
scheduled
Distance
395 mi

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for BNA to MDW flights50%75%100%June 2024: 77% on-time (169 flights)77Jun 2024July 2024: 74% on-time (176 flights)74August 2024: 87% on-time (174 flights)87September 2024: 88% on-time (154 flights)88Sep 2024October 2024: 96% on-time (168 flights)96November 2024: 88% on-time (173 flights)88December 2024: 81% on-time (170 flights)81Dec 2024January 2025: 84% on-time (130 flights)84February 2025: 87% on-time (116 flights)87March 2025: 85% on-time (159 flights)85Mar 2025April 2025: 84% on-time (164 flights)84May 2025: 83% on-time (169 flights)83June 2025: 76% on-time (172 flights)76Jun 2025July 2025: 73% on-time (175 flights)73August 2025: 75% on-time (168 flights)75September 2025: 90% on-time (159 flights)90Sep 2025October 2025: 79% on-time (170 flights)79November 2025: 80% on-time (160 flights)80December 2025: 80% on-time (152 flights)80Dec 2025January 2026: 90% on-time (131 flights)90February 2026: 83% on-time (120 flights)83March 2026: 79% on-time (164 flights)79Mar 2026April 2026: 75% on-time (166 flights)75May 2026: 60% on-time (171 flights)60

Best time to fly from BNA to MDW

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (96% on-time); avoid 7 p.m. departures (59%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, BNA to MDW5 a.m.: 96% on-time (338 flights)56 a.m.: 92% on-time (158 flights)67 a.m.: 94% on-time (285 flights)78 a.m.: 96% on-time (172 flights)89 a.m.: 87% on-time (127 flights)910 a.m.: 91% on-time (146 flights)1011 a.m.: 86% on-time (192 flights)1112 p.m.: 87% on-time (152 flights)121 p.m.: 79% on-time (279 flights)132 p.m.: 84% on-time (175 flights)143 p.m.: 75% on-time (191 flights)154 p.m.: 75% on-time (321 flights)165 p.m.: 73% on-time (110 flights)176 p.m.: 70% on-time (238 flights)187 p.m.: 59% on-time (233 flights)198 p.m.: 81% on-time (266 flights)209 p.m.: 72% on-time (243 flights)2110 p.m.: 69% on-time (204 flights)22scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday80%13 min
Tuesday84%9 min
Wednesdaybest88%6 min
Thursday77%13 min
Friday79%12 min
Saturday88%6 min
Sunday76%15 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft59%
  • Airline operations25%
  • National airspace system13%
  • Weather3%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from BNA to MDW delayed?
19% of BNA–MDW flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 11 minutes.
What is the best time of day to fly from BNA to MDW?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (96% on-time), while departures around 7 p.m. have the worst (59%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from BNA to MDW?
The scheduled BNA–MDW flight time averages 1h 36m over 395 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 19% of the time.
How often are BNA to MDW flights cancelled?
1.1% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from BNA to MDW?
May 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 60% of arrivals on time. The best was October 2024 at 96%. If your dates are flexible, that 36-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 3,830 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.