FlightRecord

Orlando (MCO) to Chicago (MDW): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

Orlando (MCO) to Chicago (MDW) effectively runs on two schedules. In November 2024, 89% of arrivals were on time; in March 2026 that fell to 63% — a 26-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 74% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (88% vs 60%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
74%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
16 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.6%
Flights/day
7.7
last 12 months
Duration
2h 51m
scheduled
Distance
990 mi

Best airline from MCO to MDW

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Frontier Airlinesmost reliable78%21 min1.9%521
Southwest Airlines74%16 min1.6%5,046

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MCO to MDW flights50%75%100%June 2024: 71% on-time (252 flights)71Jun 2024July 2024: 65% on-time (262 flights)65August 2024: 70% on-time (231 flights)70September 2024: 82% on-time (214 flights)82Sep 2024October 2024: 89% on-time (239 flights)89November 2024: 89% on-time (223 flights)89December 2024: 80% on-time (231 flights)80Dec 2024January 2025: 81% on-time (212 flights)81February 2025: 85% on-time (197 flights)85March 2025: 81% on-time (266 flights)81Mar 2025April 2025: 79% on-time (226 flights)79May 2025: 70% on-time (218 flights)70June 2025: 72% on-time (250 flights)72Jun 2025July 2025: 69% on-time (261 flights)69August 2025: 65% on-time (227 flights)65September 2025: 82% on-time (215 flights)82Sep 2025October 2025: 69% on-time (246 flights)69November 2025: 80% on-time (234 flights)80December 2025: 65% on-time (241 flights)65Dec 2025January 2026: 72% on-time (213 flights)72February 2026: 67% on-time (204 flights)67March 2026: 63% on-time (286 flights)63Mar 2026April 2026: 75% on-time (219 flights)75May 2026: 74% on-time (200 flights)74

Best time to fly from MCO to MDW

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (93% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (53%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MCO to MDW6 a.m.: 93% on-time (367 flights)67 a.m.: 92% on-time (488 flights)78 a.m.: 91% on-time (303 flights)89 a.m.: 85% on-time (306 flights)910 a.m.: 82% on-time (409 flights)1011 a.m.: 83% on-time (268 flights)1112 p.m.: 77% on-time (364 flights)121 p.m.: 78% on-time (177 flights)132 p.m.: 74% on-time (229 flights)143 p.m.: 73% on-time (360 flights)154 p.m.: 69% on-time (348 flights)165 p.m.: 62% on-time (510 flights)176 p.m.: 64% on-time (431 flights)187 p.m.: 62% on-time (295 flights)198 p.m.: 53% on-time (394 flights)209 p.m.: 56% on-time (181 flights)2110 p.m.: 61% on-time (127 flights)22scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday73%20 min
Tuesday78%13 min
Wednesdaybest81%10 min
Thursday75%15 min
Friday75%15 min
Saturday72%17 min
Sunday68%22 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Airline operations30%
  • National airspace system18%
  • Weather9%
  • Security1%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MCO to MDW delayed?
26% of MCO–MDW flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 16 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MCO to MDW?
Frontier Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 78%, based on 521 flights. 2 airlines flew MCO–MDW frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MCO to MDW?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (93% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (53%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MCO to MDW?
The scheduled MCO–MDW flight time averages 2h 51m over 990 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 26% of the time.
How often are MCO to MDW flights cancelled?
1.6% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, at or below the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MCO to MDW?
March 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 63% of arrivals on time. The best was November 2024 at 89%. If your dates are flexible, that 26-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 5,567 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.