FlightRecord

Orlando (MCO) to Chicago (MDW): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

Orlando (MCO) to Chicago (MDW) effectively runs on two schedules. In November 2024, 89% of arrivals were on time; in March 2026 that fell to 63% — a 26-point seasonal swing. Across the full period the route averages 74% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (88% vs 59%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
74%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
17 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.7%
Flights/day
7.6
last 12 months
Duration
2h 51m
scheduled
Distance
990 mi

Best airline from MCO to MDW

2 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
Frontier Airlinesmost reliable77%21 min2.0%502
Southwest Airlines73%16 min1.7%5,288

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for MCO to MDW flights50%75%100%August 2024: 70% on-time (231 flights)70Aug 2024September 2024: 82% on-time (214 flights)82October 2024: 89% on-time (239 flights)89November 2024: 89% on-time (223 flights)89Nov 2024December 2024: 80% on-time (231 flights)80January 2025: 81% on-time (212 flights)81February 2025: 85% on-time (197 flights)85Feb 2025March 2025: 81% on-time (266 flights)81April 2025: 79% on-time (226 flights)79May 2025: 70% on-time (218 flights)70May 2025June 2025: 72% on-time (250 flights)72July 2025: 69% on-time (261 flights)69August 2025: 65% on-time (227 flights)65Aug 2025September 2025: 82% on-time (215 flights)82October 2025: 69% on-time (246 flights)69November 2025: 80% on-time (234 flights)80Nov 2025December 2025: 65% on-time (241 flights)65January 2026: 72% on-time (213 flights)72February 2026: 67% on-time (204 flights)67Feb 2026March 2026: 63% on-time (286 flights)63April 2026: 75% on-time (219 flights)75May 2026: 74% on-time (200 flights)74May 2026June 2026: 63% on-time (234 flights)63July 2026: 68% on-time (241 flights)68

Best time to fly from MCO to MDW

Aim for departures around 6 a.m. (93% on-time); avoid 8 p.m. departures (53%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, MCO to MDW6 a.m.: 93% on-time (352 flights)67 a.m.: 92% on-time (530 flights)78 a.m.: 91% on-time (325 flights)89 a.m.: 85% on-time (307 flights)910 a.m.: 83% on-time (407 flights)1011 a.m.: 83% on-time (287 flights)1112 p.m.: 76% on-time (351 flights)121 p.m.: 76% on-time (218 flights)132 p.m.: 72% on-time (251 flights)143 p.m.: 72% on-time (368 flights)154 p.m.: 66% on-time (381 flights)165 p.m.: 62% on-time (509 flights)176 p.m.: 62% on-time (458 flights)187 p.m.: 60% on-time (322 flights)198 p.m.: 53% on-time (382 flights)209 p.m.: 55% on-time (182 flights)2110 p.m.: 61% on-time (151 flights)22scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday71%21 min
Tuesday79%13 min
Wednesdaybest80%11 min
Thursday74%16 min
Friday75%16 min
Saturday72%17 min
Sunday67%23 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft42%
  • Airline operations30%
  • National airspace system18%
  • Weather9%
  • Security1%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from MCO to MDW delayed?
26% of MCO–MDW flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 17 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from MCO to MDW?
Frontier Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 77%, based on 502 flights. 2 airlines flew MCO–MDW frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from MCO to MDW?
Departures around 6 a.m. have the best record (93% on-time), while departures around 8 p.m. have the worst (53%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from MCO to MDW?
The scheduled MCO–MDW flight time averages 2h 51m over 990 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 26% of the time.
How often are MCO to MDW flights cancelled?
1.7% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from MCO to MDW?
March 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 63% of arrivals on time. The best was November 2024 at 89%. If your dates are flexible, that 26-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 5,790 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.