FlightRecord

Buffalo (BUF) to Chicago (ORD): On-Time Performance

Data through July 2026

When you fly BUF to ORD matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 87% on-time in May 2025 to just 64% in January 2026. Across the full period the route averages 76% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (86% vs 56%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
76%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
22 min
completed flights
Cancelled
2.1%
Flights/day
6.0
last 12 months
Duration
2h 0m
scheduled
Distance
474 mi

Best airline from BUF to ORD

5 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-07 and 2026-07.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
American Airlinesmost reliable80%23 min2.3%822
Republic Airways79%18 min2.3%648
Envoy Air77%16 min1.5%1,098
United Airlines75%20 min1.3%1,321
SkyWest Airlines65%41 min5.2%501

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for BUF to ORD flights50%75%100%August 2024: 65% on-time (164 flights)65Aug 2024September 2024: 84% on-time (160 flights)84October 2024: 86% on-time (162 flights)86November 2024: 81% on-time (143 flights)81Nov 2024December 2024: 68% on-time (158 flights)68January 2025: 69% on-time (123 flights)69February 2025: 76% on-time (122 flights)76Feb 2025March 2025: 80% on-time (148 flights)80April 2025: 83% on-time (203 flights)83May 2025: 87% on-time (231 flights)87May 2025June 2025: 77% on-time (189 flights)77July 2025: 72% on-time (214 flights)72August 2025: 74% on-time (184 flights)74Aug 2025September 2025: 76% on-time (179 flights)76October 2025: 77% on-time (181 flights)77November 2025: 75% on-time (189 flights)75Nov 2025December 2025: 65% on-time (166 flights)65January 2026: 64% on-time (164 flights)64February 2026: 71% on-time (127 flights)71Feb 2026March 2026: 67% on-time (182 flights)67April 2026: 78% on-time (185 flights)78May 2026: 80% on-time (216 flights)80May 2026June 2026: 83% on-time (209 flights)83July 2026: 79% on-time (217 flights)79

Best time to fly from BUF to ORD

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (94% on-time); avoid 5 p.m. departures (54%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, BUF to ORD5 a.m.: 94% on-time (109 flights)56 a.m.: 85% on-time (333 flights)67 a.m.: 85% on-time (942 flights)78 a.m.: 80% on-time (260 flights)810 a.m.: 90% on-time (523 flights)1011 a.m.: 85% on-time (410 flights)1112 p.m.: 79% on-time (136 flights)121 p.m.: 62% on-time (111 flights)132 p.m.: 75% on-time (58 flights)143 p.m.: 81% on-time (134 flights)154 p.m.: 65% on-time (205 flights)165 p.m.: 54% on-time (774 flights)176 p.m.: 60% on-time (391 flights)18scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Monday76%20 min
Tuesday77%19 min
Wednesday75%18 min
Thursdaybest77%24 min
Friday75%20 min
Saturday76%24 min
Sunday75%26 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft33%
  • Airline operations31%
  • National airspace system31%
  • Weather5%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from BUF to ORD delayed?
24% of BUF–ORD flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-07 and 2026-07. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 22 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from BUF to ORD?
American Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 80%, based on 822 flights. 5 airlines flew BUF–ORD frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from BUF to ORD?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (94% on-time), while departures around 5 p.m. have the worst (54%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from BUF to ORD?
The scheduled BUF–ORD flight time averages 2h 0m over 474 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 24% of the time.
How often are BUF to ORD flights cancelled?
2.1% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-07 and 2026-07, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from BUF to ORD?
January 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 64% of arrivals on time. The best was May 2025 at 87%. If your dates are flexible, that 23-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 4,391 flights, 2024-07–2026-07. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-09-28.