FlightRecord

Buffalo (BUF) to Chicago (ORD): On-Time Performance

Data through May 2026

When you fly BUF to ORD matters as much as anything else about the booking: the route swung from 87% on-time in May 2025 to just 64% in January 2026. Across the full period the route averages 75% on-time against a national 78%. Morning departures also hold up better than evening ones (85% vs 56%), which matters most in the rough months.

On-time
75%
arrived <15 min late
Avg delay
22 min
completed flights
Cancelled
1.9%
Flights/day
6.0
last 12 months
Duration
1h 60m
scheduled
Distance
474 mi

Best airline from BUF to ORD

5 airlines flew this route regularly between 2024-06 and 2026-05.

AirlineOn-timeAvg delayCancelledFlights
American Airlinesmost reliable78%26 min1.5%751
Republic Airways78%19 min2.4%619
Envoy Air77%16 min1.7%1,134
United Airlines75%20 min1.3%1,249
SkyWest Airlines65%44 min4.3%416

Monthly on-time trend

Monthly on-time percentage for BUF to ORD flights50%75%100%June 2024: 76% on-time (205 flights)76Jun 2024July 2024: 70% on-time (175 flights)70August 2024: 65% on-time (164 flights)65September 2024: 84% on-time (160 flights)84Sep 2024October 2024: 86% on-time (162 flights)86November 2024: 81% on-time (143 flights)81December 2024: 68% on-time (158 flights)68Dec 2024January 2025: 69% on-time (123 flights)69February 2025: 76% on-time (122 flights)76March 2025: 80% on-time (148 flights)80Mar 2025April 2025: 83% on-time (203 flights)83May 2025: 87% on-time (231 flights)87June 2025: 77% on-time (189 flights)77Jun 2025July 2025: 72% on-time (214 flights)72August 2025: 74% on-time (184 flights)74September 2025: 76% on-time (179 flights)76Sep 2025October 2025: 77% on-time (181 flights)77November 2025: 75% on-time (189 flights)75December 2025: 65% on-time (166 flights)65Dec 2025January 2026: 64% on-time (164 flights)64February 2026: 71% on-time (127 flights)71March 2026: 67% on-time (182 flights)67Mar 2026April 2026: 78% on-time (185 flights)78May 2026: 80% on-time (216 flights)80

Best time to fly from BUF to ORD

Aim for departures around 5 a.m. (94% on-time); avoid 5 p.m. departures (54%).

On-time percentage by scheduled departure hour, BUF to ORD5 a.m.: 94% on-time (109 flights)56 a.m.: 84% on-time (272 flights)67 a.m.: 84% on-time (911 flights)78 a.m.: 80% on-time (229 flights)810 a.m.: 89% on-time (430 flights)1011 a.m.: 85% on-time (440 flights)1112 p.m.: 79% on-time (136 flights)121 p.m.: 62% on-time (110 flights)132 p.m.: 80% on-time (84 flights)143 p.m.: 81% on-time (134 flights)154 p.m.: 69% on-time (171 flights)165 p.m.: 54% on-time (794 flights)176 p.m.: 60% on-time (345 flights)18scheduled departure hour

By day of week

DayOn-timeAvg delay
Mondaybest76%19 min
Tuesday75%22 min
Wednesday75%17 min
Thursday76%24 min
Friday75%19 min
Saturday75%27 min
Sunday74%28 min

What causes delays on this route

Share of total delay minutes by cause, as reported by carriers to the US DOT.

  • Late-arriving aircraft33%
  • Airline operations32%
  • National airspace system30%
  • Weather6%

Frequently asked questions

How often are flights from BUF to ORD delayed?
25% of BUF–ORD flights arrived 15 or more minutes late (the US DOT definition of a delay) between 2024-06 and 2026-05. The average arrival delay across completed flights was 22 minutes.
Which airline is most reliable from BUF to ORD?
American Airlines has the best on-time record on this route at 78%, based on 751 flights. 5 airlines flew BUF–ORD frequently enough to compare in this period.
What is the best time of day to fly from BUF to ORD?
Departures around 5 a.m. have the best record (94% on-time), while departures around 5 p.m. have the worst (54%). As on most US routes, delays accumulate through the day, so earlier flights are generally safer.
How long is the flight from BUF to ORD?
The scheduled BUF–ORD flight time averages 1h 60m over 474 miles. Actual arrival times vary — flights on this route land 15+ minutes late 25% of the time.
How often are BUF to ORD flights cancelled?
1.9% of scheduled flights on this route were cancelled between 2024-06 and 2026-05, slightly above the national rate of 1.6%.
What is the worst month to fly from BUF to ORD?
January 2026 was the roughest month in this dataset, with only 64% of arrivals on time. The best was May 2025 at 87%. If your dates are flexible, that 23-point gap is worth planning around.

Based on 4,170 flights, 2024-062026-05. Source: US DOT Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Updated 2026-07-01.